Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Manchester United		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.2	4.1
	1.8	4.15	4.1
	1.79	4.3	4.34
	1.83	4.3	3.97	Watch
	1.75	3.9	4
	1.75	4.29	4.41	Watch
	1.78	4.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.86)	4.19 ↑ (4.06)	4.13 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
53.9%

Draw
22.9%

Bournemouth
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

23.4%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

22.9%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.9%	4.7%	8.4%

Manchester United - Bournemouth Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bournemouth (2.01) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.75 - Man Utd (1.99) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Bournemouth (2.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (91 of 105 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.17% – 93.17%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (47 of 49 users predict this - 95.92%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 56 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 49 - 87.5%). Bournemouth (votes: 6 - 10.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 1.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lammens S. (G) 15. Yoro L. 26. Heaven A. 23. Shaw L. 16. Diallo A. 18. Casemiro 8. Fernandes B. (C) 2. Dalot D. 19. Mbeumo B. 7. Mount M. 10. Cunha M.	1. Petrovic D. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 18. Diakite B. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 16. Tavernier M. 12. Adams T. 20. Jimenez A. 19. Kluivert J. 24. Semenyo A. 9. Evanilson
Substitutes
1. Bayindir A. (G) 13. Dorgu P. 33. Fredricson T. 37. Mainoo K. 12. Malacia T. 6. Martinez Li. 30. Sesko B. 25. Ugarte M. 11. Zirkzee J.	21. Adli A. 2. Araujo J. 7. Brooks D. 40. Dennis W. (G) 23. Hill J. 22. Kroupi E. J. 8. Scott A. 6. Soler J. 26. Unal E.
Coaches
Amorim R.	Iraola A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Adams T. ↓, Scott A. ↑,
13', 1 - 0, Diallo A. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Semenyo A. ⚽, Smith A. (A),
43', Semenyo A. 🟨,
43', Dalot D. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 1, Casemiro ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', 2 - 2, Evanilson ⚽, Tavernier M. (A),
50', Casemiro 🟨,
52', 2 - 3, Tavernier M. ⚽,
61', Casemiro ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
69', Yoro L. ↓, Martinez Li. ↑,
69', Mount M. ↓, Sesko B. ↑,
76', Senesi M. 🟨,
77', 3 - 3, Fernandes B. ⚽,
78', Evanilson ↓, Kroupi E. J. ↑,
79', 4 - 3, Cunha M. ⚽,
79', Smith A. 🟨,
84', 4 - 4, Kroupi E. J. ⚽, Jimenez A. (A),
90+1', Kluivert J. ↓, Hill J. ↑,
90+1', Tavernier M. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
90+3', Mbeumo B. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
90+3', Shaw L. ↓, Dorgu P. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 1.

Man Utd has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bournemouth is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Man Utd is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Sesko B. (Knee Injury) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Akinmboni M. (Muscle Injury) Christie R. (Knee Injury) Cook L. (Red Card) Doak B. (Hamstring Injury) Milosavljevic V. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
08.12.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	1:4 ✺
04.12.25	Manchester United - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Crystal Palace - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Manchester United - Everton	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWLT
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
06.12.25	Bournemouth - Chelsea	0:0 ✺
02.12.25	Bournemouth - Everton	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sunderland - Bournemouth	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Bournemouth - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Aston Villa - Bournemouth	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Premier League Summer Series
30.07.25	Manchester United - Bournemouth	4:1
English Premier League
27.04.25	Bournemouth - Manchester United	1:1
22.12.24	Manchester United - Bournemouth	0:3
13.04.24	Bournemouth - Manchester United	2:2
09.12.23	Manchester United - Bournemouth	0:3
20.05.23	Bournemouth - Manchester United	0:1
03.01.23	Manchester United - Bournemouth	3:0

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