What is the expert prediction for Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?

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Crystal Palace vs Manchester United Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, November 30, 2025)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Palace TV, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
World	Sport 24 At Sea


	Crystal Palace		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	3.4
	2.1	3.65	3.4
	2.19	3.66	3.4
	2.48	3.63	2.68	Watch
	2.28	3.63	3.32	Watch
	2.12	3.6	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.51)	3.65 ↑ (3.58)	3.26 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
43.8%

Draw
26.5%

Manchester United
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26.6%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crystal Palace's performance.

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30.8%	19.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 25 - 51%). Man Utd will win (votes: 10 - 20.4%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 37% – 65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Man Utd (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Crystal Palace (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Crystal Palace (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Crystal Palace (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Man Utd (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Man Utd (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Man Utd (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (G) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 2. Munoz D. 20. Wharton A. 18. Kamada D. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 10. Pino Y. 14. Mateta J.	31. Lammens S. (G) 15. Yoro L. 4. de Ligt M. 23. Shaw L. 16. Diallo A. 18. Casemiro 8. Fernandes B. (C) 2. Dalot D. 19. Mbeumo B. 7. Mount M. 11. Zirkzee J.
Substitutes
44. Benitez W. (G) 23. Canvot J. 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 21. Esse R. 19. Hughes W. 8. Lerma J. 9. Nketiah E. 12. Uche C.	1. Bayindir A. (G) 13. Dorgu P. 26. Heaven A. 61. Lacey S. 37. Mainoo K. 12. Malacia T. 6. Martinez Li. 3. Mazraoui N. 25. Ugarte M.
Coaches
Glasner O.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Mbeumo B. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Mateta J. (Pen),
38', Sarr I. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Nketiah E. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Zirkzee J. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
55', Yoro L. ↓, Mazraoui N. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Mount M. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
72', Shaw L. 🟨,
75', Guehi M. 🟨,
78', Wharton A. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
78', Pino Y. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
83', Shaw L. ↓, Martinez Li. ↑,
85', Kamada D. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
85', Mitchell T. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
90+1', Diallo A. ↓, Dorgu P. ↑,
90+1', Mbeumo B. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
90+3', Lerma J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 3.

Crystal Palace is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Man Utd has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Sosa B. (Knock)

There will not play in Man Utd: Cunha M. (Health problems) Maguire H. (Hamstring Injury) Sesko B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Riad C. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Strasbourg - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
22.11.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
01.11.25	Crystal Palace - Brentford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTWW
- Manchester United
English Premier League
24.11.25	Manchester United - Everton	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Liverpool - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
02.02.25	Manchester United - Crystal Palace	0:2
21.09.24	Crystal Palace - Manchester United	0:0
06.05.24	Crystal Palace - Manchester United	4:0
30.09.23	Manchester United - Crystal Palace	0:1
English League Cup
26.09.23	Manchester United - Crystal Palace	3:0
English Premier League
04.02.23	Manchester United - Crystal Palace	2:1
18.01.23	Crystal Palace - Manchester United	1:1

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