Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Crystal Palace		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	7
	1.46	4.6	7.3
	1.49	4.55	7.1
	1.49	4.6	6.92	Watch
	1.5	4	6
	1.52	4.68	7.06	Watch
	1.46	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.67)	4.49 ↑ (3.91)	6.91 ↑ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
64.7%

Draw
21.4%

Burnley
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.5%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

23.8%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crystal Palace's performance.

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crystal Palace that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	16.7%	7.4%

Crystal Palace - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 41 - 75.9%). Burnley will win (votes: 4 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 64.5% – 87.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Crystal Palace (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Burnley (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crystal Palace will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Burnley (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (C) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 8. Lerma J. 2. Munoz D. 18. Kamada D. 20. Wharton A. 3. Mitchell T. 29. Guessand E. 7. Sarr I. 22. Larsen J. S.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 29. Laurent J. 5. Esteve M. 4. Worrall J. 2. Walker K. (C) 8. Ugochukwu L. 28. Mejbri H. 12. Humphreys B. 10. Edwards M. 11. Anthony J. 19. Flemming Z.
Substitutes
44. Benitez W. (G) 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 19. Hughes W. 11. Johnson B. 10. Pino Y. 34. Riad C. 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C.	35. Barnes A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 18. Ekdal H. 16. Florentino 9. Foster L. 23. Lucas Pires 17. Tchaouna L. 20. Ward-Prowse J. 13. Weiss M. (G)
Coaches
Glasner O.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
17', 1 - 0, Larsen J. S. ⚽, Wharton A. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Larsen J. S. ⚽, Lerma J. (A),
35', Richards C. 🟨,
36', Lerma J. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Mejbri H. ⚽, Edwards M. (A),
44', 2 - 2, Anthony J. ⚽, Ugochukwu L. (A),
45+2', 2 - 3, Lerma J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lerma J. ↓, Riad C. ↑,
58', Guessand E. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
72', Kamada D. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
72', Munoz D. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
73', Edwards M. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
73', Flemming Z. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
74', Mejbri H. 🟨,
83', Wharton A. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
83', Mejbri H. ↓, Ward-Prowse J. ↑,
87', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Florentino ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 3.

Crystal Palace is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Burnley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Crystal Palace has had a series of away games.

In this match, Crystal Palace is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Devenny J. (Ankle Injury) Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Mateta J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Tuanzebe A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Crystal Palace: 0.13%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
08.02.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Crystal Palace - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Sunderland - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Macclesfield Town - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLLL
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
07.02.26	Burnley - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Sunderland - Burnley	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Burnley - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Liverpool - Burnley	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Burnley - Millwall	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
03.12.25	Burnley - Crystal Palace	0:1
24.02.24	Crystal Palace - Burnley	3:0
04.11.23	Burnley - Crystal Palace	0:2
26.02.22	Crystal Palace - Burnley	1:1
20.11.21	Burnley - Crystal Palace	3:3
13.02.21	Crystal Palace - Burnley	0:3
23.11.20	Burnley - Crystal Palace	1:0

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