Crystal Palace - Burnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 26
  • Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday
  • Location: Selhurst Park (London)
  • Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Crystal Palace Burnley
    Crystal Palace Burnley
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.67)
    4.49
    (3.91)
    6.91
    (5.34)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Crystal Palace
    64.7%
    Draw
    21.4%
    Burnley
    13.9%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    57.5% 24.5% 18%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    55.9% 23.8% 18.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crystal Palace's performance.
  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crystal Palace that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    75.9% 16.7% 7.4%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 41 - 75.9%). Burnley will win (votes: 4 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 64.5%87.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Crystal Palace (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1.5 - Burnley (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crystal Palace will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Burnley (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. EnglandHenderson D. (C)
    26. USARichards C.
      5. FranceLacroix M.
      8. ColombiaLerma J.
      2. ColombiaMunoz D.
    18. JapanKamada D.
    20. EnglandWharton A.
      3. EnglandMitchell T.
    29. IvoryGuessand E.
      7. SenegalSarr I.
    22. NorwayLarsen J. S.
      1. SlovakiaDubravka M. (G)
    29. EnglandLaurent J.
      5. FranceEsteve M.
      4. EnglandWorrall J.
      2. EnglandWalker K. (C)
      8. FranceUgochukwu L.
    28. TunisiaMejbri H.
    12. EnglandHumphreys B.
    10. EnglandEdwards M.
    11. EnglandAnthony J.
    19. NetherlandsFlemming Z.
    Substitutes
    44. ArgentinaBenitez W. (G)
    17. EnglandClyne N.
    55. NorthernDevenny J.
    19. EnglandHughes W.
    11. WalesJohnson B.
    10. SpainPino Y.
    34. MoroccoRiad C.
    24. CroatiaSosa B.
    12. NigeriaUche C.
    35. EnglandBarnes A.
      7. DenmarkBruun Larsen J.
    18. SwedenEkdal H.
    16. PortugalFlorentino
      9. SouthFoster L.
    23. BrazilLucas Pires
    17. FranceTchaouna L.
    20. EnglandWard-Prowse J.
    13. GermanyWeiss M. (G)
    Coaches
         AustriaGlasner O.
         EnglandParker S.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (2 - 3)
    • 17', 1 - 0, Larsen J. S. , Wharton A. (A),
    • 33', 2 - 0, Larsen J. S. , Lerma J. (A),
    • 35', Richards C. 🟨,
    • 36', Lerma J. 🟨,
    • 40', 2 - 1, Mejbri H. , Edwards M. (A),
    • 44', 2 - 2, Anthony J. , Ugochukwu L. (A),
    • 45+2', 2 - 3, Lerma J. (Own goal),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 46', Lerma J. , Riad C. ,
    • 58', Guessand E. , Johnson B. ,
    • 72', Kamada D. , Pino Y. ,
    • 72', Munoz D. , Hughes W. ,
    • 73', Edwards M. , Bruun Larsen J. ,
    • 73', Flemming Z. , Foster L. ,
    • 74', Mejbri H. 🟨,
    • 83', Wharton A. , Uche C. ,
    • 83', Mejbri H. , Ward-Prowse J. ,
    • 87', Ugochukwu L. , Florentino ,

    Preview

  • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 3.
  • Crystal Palace is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Burnley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Crystal Palace has had a series of away games.
  • In this match, Crystal Palace is the clear favorite.
  • There will not play in Crystal Palace: Devenny J. (Ankle Injury) Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Mateta J. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Ankle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)
  • There are questionable in Burnley: Tuanzebe A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
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    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    17Crystal Palace10010:2-20

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Crystal Palace
    English Premier League
    08.02.26 Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace 0:1
    01.02.26 Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace 1:1
    25.01.26 Crystal Palace - Chelsea 1:3
    17.01.26 Sunderland - Crystal Palace 2:1
    English FA Cup
    10.01.26 Macclesfield Town - Crystal Palace 2:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9
    WTLLL
    - Burnley FC
    English Premier League
    07.02.26 Burnley - West Ham United 0:2
    02.02.26 Sunderland - Burnley 3:0
    24.01.26 Burnley - Tottenham Hotspur 2:2
    17.01.26 Liverpool - Burnley 1:1
    English FA Cup
    10.01.26 Burnley - Millwall 5:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6
    LLTTW
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    03.12.25 Burnley - Crystal Palace 0:1
    24.02.24 Crystal Palace - Burnley 3:0
    04.11.23 Burnley - Crystal Palace 0:2
    26.02.22 Crystal Palace - Burnley 1:1
    20.11.21 Burnley - Crystal Palace 3:3
    13.02.21 Crystal Palace - Burnley 0:3
    23.11.20 Burnley - Crystal Palace 1:0
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Crystal Palace
    English Premier League
    28.08.26 Crystal Palace - Manchester City
    - Burnley FC
    English League Championship
    29.08.26 Norwich City - Burnley
    English League Cup
    26.08.26 Bradford City - Burnley