Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Manchester United		Everton

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	4.1
	1.88	3.85	4.05
	1.89	3.88	4.17
	1.70	3.93	4.76	Watch
	1.92	3.87	4.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.7)	3.85 ↓ (3.93)	4.27 ↓ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
52.3%

Draw
25.1%

Everton
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24.2%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.3%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.4%	8%	3.6%

Manchester United - Everton Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Man Utd (6.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Everton (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (98 of 111 users predict this - 88.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.31% – 94.27%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (38 of 43 users predict this - 88.37%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 45 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 39 - 86.7%). Everton (votes: 2 - 4.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lammens S. (G) 15. Yoro L. 4. de Ligt M. 23. Shaw L. 3. Mazraoui N. 18. Casemiro 8. Fernandes B. (C) 13. Dorgu P. 19. Mbeumo B. 16. Diallo A. 11. Zirkzee J.	1. Pickford J. (G) 23. Coleman S. (C) 6. Tarkowski J. 5. Keane M. 16. Mykolenko V. 37. Garner J. 27. Gueye I. 10. Ndiaye I. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 18. Grealish J. 11. Barry T.
Substitutes
1. Bayindir A. (G) 2. Dalot D. 26. Heaven A. 61. Lacey S. 37. Mainoo K. 12. Malacia T. 6. Martinez Li. 7. Mount M. 25. Ugarte M.	24. Alcaraz C. 39. Aznou A. 9. Beto 20. Dibling T. 42. Iroegbunam T. 31. King T. (G) 7. McNeil D. 15. O'Brien J. 12. Travers M. (G)
Coaches
Amorim R.	Moyes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Coleman S. ↓, O'Brien J. ↑,
13', Gueye I. 🟥,
29', 0 - 1, Dewsbury-Hall K. ⚽,
45+2', Mbeumo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mazraoui N. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
50', Casemiro 🟨,
58', Casemiro ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
58', Dorgu P. ↓, Dalot D. ↑,
82', Ndiaye I. ↓, Beto ↑,
82', Barry T. ↓, Iroegbunam T. ↑,
88', Dewsbury-Hall K. ↓, Alcaraz C. ↑,
88', Grealish J. ↓, McNeil D. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 3.

Man Utd is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Everton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Man Utd is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Maguire H. (Hamstring Injury) Sesko B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Hamstring Injury) Rohl M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Mainoo K. (Injury)

We predict that Man Utd will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:19. (average 2.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:9. (average 2.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
08.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Liverpool - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Manchester United - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TTWWW
- Everton
English Premier League
08.11.25	Everton - Fulham	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Sunderland - Everton	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Everton - Tottenham Hotspur	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Manchester City - Everton	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Everton - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Premier League Summer Series
03.08.25	Manchester United - Everton	2:2
English Premier League
22.02.25	Everton - Manchester United	2:2
01.12.24	Manchester United - Everton	4:0
09.03.24	Manchester United - Everton	2:0
26.11.23	Everton - Manchester United	0:3
08.04.23	Manchester United - Everton	2:0
English FA Cup
06.01.23	Manchester United - Everton	3:1

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