Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Colombia	Disney+
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Thailand	AIS PLAY
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Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+


	Manchester United		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.5	5.25
	1.55	4.33	5.75
	1.55	4.4	5.8
	1.66	4.4	5.15
	1.25	6.01	10.05	Watch
	1.59	4.54	5.97	Watch
	1.55	4.45	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.47)	4.66 ↓ (4.92)	6.21 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
63.5%

Draw
20.8%

Sunderland
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

19.5%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

19%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	13.3%	16.7%

Manchester United - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 41 - 71.9%). Sunderland will win (votes: 10 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 60.2% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 16 - 64%). Sunderland (votes: 7 - 28%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Sunderland (5.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Sunderland (5.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sunderland (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Sunderland (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lammens S. (G) 15. Yoro L. 4. de Ligt M. 23. Shaw L. 16. Diallo A. 18. Casemiro 8. Fernandes B. (C) 2. Dalot D. 19. Mbeumo B. 7. Mount M. 30. Sesko B.	22. Roefs R. (G) 32. Hume T. 20. Mukiele N. 15. Alderete O. 26. Masuaku A. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 25. Traore B. 28. Le Fee E. 24. Adingra S. 18. Isidor W.
Substitutes
1. Bayindir A. (G) 10. Cunha M. 13. Dorgu P. 26. Heaven A. 35. Leon D. 5. Maguire H. 37. Mainoo K. 25. Ugarte M. 11. Zirkzee J.	5. Ballard D. 9. Brobbey B. 6. Geertruida L. 12. Mayenda E. 4. Neil D. 13. O'Nien L. 1. Patterson A. (G) 11. Rigg C. 7. Talbi C.
Coaches
Amorim R.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Mount M. ⚽, Mbeumo B. (A),
29', Alderete O. 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Sesko B. ⚽,
35', Sadiki N. 🟨,
37', Adingra S. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Traore B. 🟨,
58', Traore B. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
58', Masuaku A. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
59', Isidor W. ↓, Brobbey B. ↑,
64', Dalot D. ↓, Dorgu P. ↑,
65', Mount M. ↓, Cunha M. ↑,
76', Xhaka G. 🟨,
77', Mbeumo B. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
79', Hume T. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
81', Casemiro 🟨,
85', Casemiro ↓, Ugarte M. ↑,
85', Yoro L. ↓, Maguire H. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Man Utd is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mazraoui N. (Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Cirkin D. (Wrist Injury) Diarra H. (Groin Injury) Hjelde L. F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mandava R. (Red Card) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
27.09.25	Brentford - Manchester United	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Manchester United - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Manchester City - Manchester United	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Manchester United - Burnley	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.25	Grimsby Town - Manchester United	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL
- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
27.09.25	Nottingham Forest - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sunderland - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Crystal Palace - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Sunderland - Brentford	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Sunderland - Huddersfield Town	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
09.04.17	Sunderland - Manchester United	0:3
26.12.16	Manchester United - Sunderland	3:1
13.02.16	Sunderland - Manchester United	2:1
26.09.15	Manchester United - Sunderland	3:0
28.02.15	Manchester United - Sunderland	2:0
24.08.14	Sunderland - Manchester United	1:1
03.05.14	Manchester United - Sunderland	0:1

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