Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sunderland		Everton

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.45
	3	3.15	2.55
	3.1	3.25	2.5
	2.75	3.15	2.70	Watch
	3.02	3.17	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.75)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	2.58 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
32.1%

Draw
30.6%

Everton
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

30.2%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

29.9%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.6%	30.1%	13.3%

Sunderland - Everton Predictions

Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 47 - 56.6%). Everton will win (votes: 11 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 30.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 45.9% – 67.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 12 - 50%). Tie (votes: 12 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Sunderland (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sunderland (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 12 - 46.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 32. Hume T. 20. Mukiele N. 5. Ballard D. 6. Geertruida L. 17. Mandava R. 25. Traore B. 34. Xhaka G. (C) 27. Sadiki N. 28. Le Fee E. 18. Isidor W.	1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 5. Keane M. 16. Mykolenko V. 27. Gueye I. 37. Garner J. 10. Ndiaye I. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 18. Grealish J. 11. Barry T.
Substitutes
24. Adingra S. 9. Brobbey B. 26. Masuaku A. 12. Mayenda E. 4. Neil D. 13. O'Nien L. 1. Patterson A. (G) 11. Rigg C. 7. Talbi C.	24. Alcaraz C. 39. Aznou A. 9. Beto 23. Coleman S. 20. Dibling T. 42. Iroegbunam T. 7. McNeil D. 34. Rohl M. 12. Travers M. (G)
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Moyes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Ndiaye I. ⚽,
17', Sadiki N. 🟨,
18', Mukiele N. 🟨,
32', Barry T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Xhaka G. ⚽, Le Fee E. (A),
54', Hume T. 🟨,
57', Barry T. ↓, Beto ↑,
62', Ndiaye I. ↓, McNeil D. ↑,
82', Traore B. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
83', Isidor W. ↓, Brobbey B. ↑,
83', Dewsbury-Hall K. ↓, Alcaraz C. ↑,
83', O'Brien J. ↓, Iroegbunam T. ↑,
90+5', Alcaraz C. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1.

Sunderland is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Everton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury) Cirkin D. (Wrist Injury) Diarra H. (Groin Injury) Hjelde L. F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Thigh Injury) Patterson N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Alderete O. (Concussion)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English Premier League
25.10.25	Chelsea - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Sunderland - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Manchester United - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Nottingham Forest - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sunderland - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.3 WWLWT
- Everton
English Premier League
26.10.25	Everton - Tottenham Hotspur	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Manchester City - Everton	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Everton - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Everton - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
20.09.17	Everton - Sunderland	3:0
English Premier League
25.02.17	Everton - Sunderland	2:0
12.09.16	Sunderland - Everton	0:3
11.05.16	Sunderland - Everton	3:0
01.11.15	Everton - Sunderland	6:2
09.05.15	Everton - Sunderland	0:2
09.11.14	Sunderland - Everton	1:1

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