Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 42

Date: 16 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)


	Mansfield Town		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	8.5
	1.34	5.25	7.75
	1.35	5	8	Watch
	1.34	5.51	8.74
	1.34	5.51	8.74
	1.33	5.5	8
	1.34	5.25	7.8	Watch
	1.33	5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.38)	5.28 ↑ (4.6)	8.09 ↑ (7.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
70.4%

Draw
17.9%

Accrington Stanley
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

20.1%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

18.9%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Mansfield Town - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Accrington will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Christy James Pym 9. Jordan Bowery 14. Aden Flint 6. Baily Cargill 24. Lewis Brunt 16. Stephen Quinn 44. Hiram Kojo Kwarteng Boateng 25. Louis Reed 40. Davis Keillor Dunn 7. Lucas Akins 26. Will Swan	61. Jack McIntyre 4. Kelvin Mellor 16. Joseph Gubbins 38. Connor O'Brien 5. Brad Hills 7. Shaun Whalley 10. Joe Cameron Pritchard 17. Jack Nolan 22. Dan Martin 18. Tommy Leigh 39. Josh Woods
Substitutes
15. Aaron Lewis 4. Elliott Hewitt 12. James Gale 8. Ollie Clarke 13. Scott Flinders 3. Stephen McLaughlin 20. Tom Nichols	999. Alex Henderson 8. Benjamin Woods . Jake Bickerstaff 55. Korede Adedoyin 2. Lewis Shipley 28. Seamus Conneely 40. Toby Savin
Coaches
Clough N.	Doolan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Maris G. ⚽, Quinn S. (A),
35', Hills B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Coyle L. 🟨,
57', Whalley S. ↓, Pritchard J. ↑,
57', Lowe M. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Quinn S. ⚽,
67', Boateng H. ↓, Clarke O. ↑,
67', Quinn S. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
73', Maris G. ↓, Gale J. ↑,
74', Keillor-Dunn D. ↓, Swan W. ↑,
83', Akins L. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Leigh T. ⚽, Nolan J. (A),

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 2.

Recent matches Mansfield is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Accrington is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mansfield is absolute favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
13.04.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Mansfield Town	1:4 ✺
09.04.24	Mansfield Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Mansfield Town - Crawley Town	1:4 ✺
29.03.24	Wrexham - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Mansfield Town - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLT
- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
13.04.24	Doncaster Rovers - Accrington Stanley	4:0 ✺
09.04.24	Newport County - Accrington Stanley	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Accrington Stanley - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
29.03.24	Accrington Stanley - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Sutton United - Accrington Stanley	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
09.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Mansfield Town	0:3
English League Cup
14.08.18	Mansfield Town - Accrington Stanley	6:1
English League Two
30.03.18	Mansfield Town - Accrington Stanley	0:1
19.08.17	Accrington Stanley - Mansfield Town	2:1
14.02.17	Mansfield Town - Accrington Stanley	4:4
27.09.16	Accrington Stanley - Mansfield Town	1:1
02.01.16	Mansfield Town - Accrington Stanley	2:3

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