Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 44

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadium MK (Milton Keynes)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)


	Milton Keynes Dons		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.7
	2.5	3.4	2.65
	2.5	3.5	2.7
	2.57	3.45	2.85
	2.57	3.35	2.85
	2.45	3.5	2.62
	2.46	3.55	2.62	Watch
	2.38	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.52)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	2.71 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milton Keynes Dons
37.7%

Draw
27.4%

Mansfield Town
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.1%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.2%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Milton Keynes Dons - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Mansfield will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Kelly M. (G) 4. Tucker J. 5. O'Hora W. 3. Lewington D. 29. Lofthouse K. 50. Bate L. 11. Payne J. 21. Harvie D. 24. Wearne S. 8. Gilbey A. 18. Dean M.	1. Pym C. (G) 4. Hewitt E. 14. Flint A. 9. Bowery J. 22. Williams G. 8. Clarke O. 25. Reed L. 15. Lewis A. 44. Boateng H. 7. Akins L. 26. Swan W.
Substitutes
9. Harrison E. 27. Kemp D. 33. Marschall F. (G) 2. Norman C. 17. Robson E. 22. Tezgel E. 6. Williams M.	13. Flinders S. (G) 12. Gale J. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 10. Maris G. 3. McLaughlin S. 20. Nichols T. 16. Quinn S.
Coaches
Williamson M.	Clough N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Dean M. ⚽,
27', Swan W. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Hewitt E. ⚽, Boateng H. (A),
32', Clarke O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Swan W. ↓, Keillor-Dunn D. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Keillor-Dunn D. ⚽,
54', Dean M. 🟨,
59', Clarke O. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
60', Hewitt E. ↓, Maris G. ↑,
69', Williams G. 🟨,
70', Lewington D. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
73', Williams G. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
79', Payne J. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
84', Boateng H. 🟨,
86', Boateng H. ↓, Gale J. ↑,
88', Lewis A. 🟨,
89', Gilbey A. 🟨,
90', Harvie D. 🟨,
90', 1 - 3, Keillor-Dunn D. ⚽, Gale J. (A),
90+2', 1 - 4, Gale J. ⚽, Keillor-Dunn D. (A),

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

MK Dons is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mansfield is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mansfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
06.04.24	Forest Green Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons	3:3 ✺
29.03.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Walsall	5:0 ✺
23.03.24	Stockport County - Milton Keynes Dons	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWLW
- Mansfield Town
English League Two
09.04.24	Mansfield Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Mansfield Town - Crawley Town	1:4 ✺
29.03.24	Wrexham - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Mansfield Town - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Bradford City - Mansfield Town	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.03.24	Mansfield Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2
04.05.19	Milton Keynes Dons - Mansfield Town	1:0
27.10.18	Mansfield Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1
Club Friendly
21.07.15	Mansfield Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1

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