The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marítimo 17.6%
Draw 24.5%
Braga 58%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.3%
21.1%
64.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.9%
20.5%
66.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.6%
0%
78.4%
Marítimo - Braga Predictions
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(40 of 51 users predict this - 78.43%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.14% – 89.72%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).
Marítimo has the most likely position - 17 (33.36%), has project points - 29, has currently - 13, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Braga has the most likely position - 3 (43.74%), has project points - 71, has currently - 43, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of qualify for ucl (61%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has quality49, importance57, match rating53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 2.
Recent matches Marítimo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Braga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Marítimo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Braga is a favorite.
There will not play in Marítimo: Brito R.
(Injury)
Catamo G.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Marítimo: Mendes D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Braga: Gorby
(Injury)
Last 25 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 25-44.
Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-15.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Portugal
Serbia
Slovakia
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