Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - RELEGATION - FINAL

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio dos Barreiros (Funchal)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV, Sport TV+


	Marítimo		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.75
	1.9	3.4	3.9
	1.86	3.5	3.85
	1.95	3.62	4.04
	1.75	3.3	3.9
	1.9	3.6	4.05	Watch
	1.97	3.55	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)	3.5 ↑ (3.38)	3.9 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
49.4%

Draw
26.7%

Estrela da Amadora
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

29.4%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Marítimo - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Users Predictions: Marítimo will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marcelo Carne (G) 27. Paulinho 5. Zainadine J. (C) 3. Mosquera M. 94. Vitor Costa 8. Val 16. Mendes D. 17. Correia F. 23. Xadas 57. Catamo G. 7. Vidigal A.	30. Bruno (G) 13. Lopes M. (C) 4. Gaspar K. 70. Mansur 12. Jean Felipe 18. Vito 32. Guzman S. 17. Joao Reis 89. Ronald 20. Tavares R. 77. Ndo R.
Substitutes
10. Beltrame S. 2. Claudio Winck 12. Costa E. 45. Fabio China 21. Joao Afonso 30. Makaridze G. (G) 11. Ramirez J. 15. Rene 29. Riascos B.	6. Aloisio 1. Antonio Filipe (G) 8. Balburdia M. 33. Correia R. 27. Hevertton S. 29. Kikas 11. Salomao D. 80. Santos Junior E. A. 9. Silva J.
Coaches
Gomes J. M.	Vieira S.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Estrela is Qualified for Liga Portugal (Relegation )

Marítimo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Estrela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Marítimo is a favorite.

There will not play in Marítimo: Trmal M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Marítimo: Beltrame S. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
03.06.23	Estrela da Amadora - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
27.05.23	Estoril Praia - Marítimo	3:1 ✺
19.05.23	Marítimo - Vizela	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Marítimo - Rio Ave	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLT
- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
03.06.23	Estrela da Amadora - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
27.05.23	Penafiel - Estrela da Amadora	2:4 ✺
21.05.23	Estrela da Amadora - Nacional	0:1 ✺
12.05.23	Trofense - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
06.05.23	Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.06.23	Estrela da Amadora - Marítimo	2:1

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