Match Info

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Mardin 1969		Fatih Karagümrükspor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.43	3.42	2.68	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.49
	2.55	3.3	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.55)	3.36 ↑ (3.33)	2.55 ↑ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mardin 1969
36.6%

Draw
27.4%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

27.4%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

26.9%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mardin 1969 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mardin 1969 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 7th in the Promotion - 1. Lig Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 9th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	9:5	4	12
10	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	12:11	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mardin 1969 SK
Turkish First League
20.09.26	Mardin 1969 - Kayserispor	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Igdirspor - Mardin 1969	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Mardin 1969 - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Sivasspor - Mardin 1969	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Mardin 1969 - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTT
- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
19.09.26	Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Manisa FK	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Batman Petrolspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	4:3 ✺
02.09.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLTT

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