Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 19

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Maringá		Caxias

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.95	2.88	4.05
	2.04	3.25	4.52
	1.29	4.99	9.77	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.2
	1.98	2.95	3.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.74)	3.35 ↓ (3.43)	5.06 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maringá
52.4%

Draw
28.6%

Caxias
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

28.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Maringá - Caxias Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Maringá will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Caxias will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Maringá (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Caxias (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tony Batista (G) 30. Danielzinho 7. Edison Negueba 40. Everton Morelli 99. Maranhao 23. Max Miller 11. Robertinho 3. Ronald Carvalho (C) 31. Thiago Rosa 13. Tito 18. Ze Vitor	1. Thiago Coelho (G) 33. Alan 3. Alisson 25. Calyson 16. Douglas Skilo 11. Iago 5. Lorran 6. Marcelo 27. Pedro Cuiaba 2. Thiago Ennes 10. Tomas Bastos (C)
Substitutes
20. Bruno Cheron 32. Caua Tavares 5. Evanderson 17. Iago Santana 27. Ibson 4. Jhow Alecxander 6. Joao Felix 19. Julio Rodrigues 25. Neto (G) 15. Parrudo 29. Rai Natalino 36. Vinicius Amaral	14. Carlos Henrique 44. Douglas 50. Faria Giequelin L. 17. Igor Torres 21. Kelvyn 8. Paulinho Souza 15. Ronei 39. Taua 32. Victor Golas (G) 7. Yann Rolim
Coaches
Casarin R.	Junior Rocha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Maranhao ⚽,
14', Thiago Ennes 🟨,
38', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lorran ↓, Taua ↑,
46', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Kelvyn ↑,
46', Calyson ↓, Igor Torres ↑,
47', Taua 🟨,
52', Max Miller 🟨,
63', Taua 🟨,
63', 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, Edison Negueba ⚽,
68', Tomas Bastos ↓, Paulinho Souza ↑,
69', Max Miller ↓, Caua Tavares ↑,
74', Douglas Skilo ↓, Faria Giequelin L. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Maranhao ⚽,
79', Ze Vitor 🟨,
81', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
81', Ze Vitor ↓, Bruno Cheron ↑,
81', Danielzinho ↓, Parrudo ↑,
81', Maranhao ↓, Julio Rodrigues ↑,
84', Ronald Carvalho ↓, Jhow Alecxander ↑,
86', Julio Rodrigues 🟨,

Preview

Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )

In recent matches, Maringá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Caxias is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Maringá is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maringá won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Maringá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
24.08.25	Itabaiana - Maringá	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Maringá - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Figueirense - Maringá	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Maringá - Floresta	1:1 ✺
28.07.25	Tombense - Maringá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTTT
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie C
23.08.25	Caxias - Brusque	0:1 ✺
18.08.25	Tombense - Caxias	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Caxias - ABC	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Ypiranga - Caxias	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Caxias - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.06.18	Caxias - Maringá	3:0
03.06.18	Maringá - Caxias	1:1
10.07.16	Caxias - Maringá	1:2
19.06.16	Maringá - Caxias	3:0

Upcoming Matches