Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)

Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Red Star		Caen

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.95
	2.3	3.3	3	Watch
	2.47	3.34	3.13
	2.32	3.3	3.02
	2.3	3.4	2.88
	2.33	3.48	2.97	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.82)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)	2.98 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Red Star
40.4%

Draw
28.2%

Caen
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28.2%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

28.7%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Star's performance.

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Star that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	61.5%	30.8%

Red Star - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Caen will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 28. Kouagba L. 4. Mendy B. 98. Hachem R. 8. Eickmayer J. 10. Ifnaoui M. 19. Mbock H. 97. Renel S. 7. Durand D. 21. Badji A.	1. Mandrea A. (G) 4. Henry V. 61. Traore B. 29. Thomas R. (C) 28. Lecoeuche Q. 14. Rajot L. 91. Ntim E. 20. Lebreton N. 8. Le Bihan M. 7. Gomis T. 19. Mendy A.
Substitutes
29. Benali H. 30. Bonet P. (G) 17. Botella I. 26. Dembi F. J. 93. El Hriti A. 5. Escartin J. 9. Fall A.	3. Bolumbu D. 10. Brahimi B. 16. Clementia Y. (G) 18. Coulibaly K. 22. Hafid M. 17. Kyeremeh G. 36. Verhaeghe R.
Coaches
Poirier G.	Seube N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Lebreton N. ⚽,
43', Henry V. 🟨,
45+1', Durand D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Renel S. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
60', Badji A. ↓, Fall A. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Gomis T. ⚽, Mendy A. (A),
65', 1 - 2, Hachem R. ⚽, Durand D. (A),
71', Le Bihan M. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
75', Eickmayer J. ↓, Dembi F. J. ↑,
75', Durivaux D. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Durand D. ⚽, Benali H. (A),
83', Gomis T. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
85', Lebreton N. ↓, Hafid M. ↑,
86', Hachem R. ↓, El Hriti A. ↑,
90+4', Benali H. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 14).

Red Star has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Caen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Red Star: Danger B. (Injury) Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) El Hriti A. (Injury) Meyapya B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Caen: Autret M. (Injury) Bagbema Z. (Injury) Meddah D. (Injury) Ntim E. (Injury) Sy L. (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Red Star won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
04.10.24	Annecy - Red Star	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Red Star - Paris FC	1:3 ✺
24.09.24	Clermont - Red Star	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Red Star - Laval	0:3 ✺
13.09.24	Lorient - Red Star	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLL
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
05.10.24	Caen - Lorient	1:2 ✺
30.09.24	Guingamp - Caen	3:1 ✺
24.09.24	Caen - Amiens	2:1 ✺
20.09.24	Caen - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
16.09.24	Grenoble - Caen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
05.01.19	Red Star - Caen	0:1

Upcoming Matches