Match Info
PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 20Date: 12 February 2023, SundayLocation: Estádio dos Barreiros (Funchal)Referee: Costa R. (Por)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
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Marítimo |
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Braga |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
5 |
4 |
1.6 |
 Watch |
 |
5 |
3.8 |
1.63 |
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 |
5.6 |
3.75 |
1.57 |
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 |
5.53 |
3.97 |
1.67 |
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5.5 |
3.6 |
1.63 |
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 |
5.7 |
3.88 |
1.62 |
Watch |
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5.2 |
3.95 |
1.66 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.36 ↓
(6.53) |
3.85 ↓
(4.42) |
1.63 ↑
(1.44) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marítimo
17.6% | Draw
24.5% | Braga
58% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 11 - 21.6%). Braga will win (votes: 40 - 78.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 67.1% – 89.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).Marítimo has the most likely position - 17 (33.36%), has project points - 29, has currently - 13, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).Braga has the most likely position - 3 (43.74%), has project points - 71, has currently - 43, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of qualify for ucl (61%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).This event has quality 49, importance 57, match rating 53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 2. Recent matches Marítimo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Braga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Marítimo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match Braga is a favorite.There will not play in Marítimo: Brito R.
(Injury)
Catamo G.
(Injury)There are questionable in Marítimo: Mendes D.
(Injury)There are questionable in Braga: Gorby
(Injury)
Last 25 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 25-44. Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-15.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Liga Portugal | | | 21.08.22 | Braga - Marítimo | 5:0 | | 15.01.22 | Braga - Marítimo | 0:1 | | 07.08.21 | Marítimo - Braga | 0:2 | | 29.04.21 | Marítimo - Braga | 1:0 | | 07.01.21 | Braga - Marítimo | 2:1 | | 01.03.20 | Marítimo - Braga | 1:2 | | Portuguese League Cup | | | 13.10.19 | Braga - Marítimo | 2:1 |
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