The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mercedes 37.1%
Draw 33.4%
Lugano 29.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.4%
30%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
30.1%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Mercedes - Lugano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Amado L. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Lugano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Mercedes has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:14 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mercedes against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Mercedes - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.39%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Lugano - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 33.63%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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