Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:15	Disney+
Armenia	20:15	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:15	Arena Sport 1
Canada	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	13:15	Disney+
China	00:15	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:15	Disney+
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Finland	18:15	Viaplay
France	17:15	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	17:15	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	00:15	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	01:15	DAZN Japan
Mexico	10:15	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	17:15	Viaplay
Peru	11:15	Disney+
Russia	19:15	Okko Sport
South Korea	01:15	Coupang Play
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	19:15	beIN Connect
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	13:15	Disney+
Usa	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	12:15	Disney+


	Metz		Nice

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.55	2.32
	3.06	3.67	2.33
	3.74	3.81	1.89	Watch
	2.98	3.69	2.36	Watch
	3.88	3.8	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.71)	3.69 ↓ (3.75)	2.19 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
29.7%

Draw
26.2%

Nice
44.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

25.3%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.2%	16.2%	67.6%

Metz - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). Nice will win (votes: 25 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 52.5% – 82.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Nice (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nice will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 11 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fischer J. (G) 39. Kouao K. 5. Gbamin J. 15. Yegbe T. 2. Colin M. 12. Toure A. 20. Deminguet J. 14. Sabaly C. 10. Hein G. (C) 7. Tsitaishvili G. 30. Diallo H.	80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 28. Bah J. 37. Peprah K. 92. Clauss J. 6. Boudaoui H. 24. Vanhoutte C. (C) 2. Abdi A. 10. Diop S. 90. Kevin 25. Cho M.
Substitutes
9. Abuashvili G. 99. Asoro J. 40. Ba O. (G) 19. Bokele Mputu M. 25. Melieres C. 23. Sane I. 38. Sane S. 21. Stambouli B. 8. Traore B.	99. Abdul Samed S. 26. Bard M. 7. Boga J. 31. Dupe M. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 21. Jansson I. 20. Louchet T. 9. Moffi T. 8. Sanson M.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Mendy A. 🟨,
33', Boudaoui H. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Cho M. ⚽, Vanhoutte C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Abdi A. ↓, Bard M. ↑,
52', Bah J. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Hein G. (Pen),
71', Kevin ↓, Boga J. ↑,
75', Sabaly C. 🟨,
77', Deminguet J. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
77', Sabaly C. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
79', Cho M. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
79', Diop S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Diallo H. ⚽, Gbamin J. (A),
86', Mendy A. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
87', Hein G. 🟨,
88', Diallo H. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
90+2', Bard M. 🟨,
90+3', Hein G. ↓, Melieres C. ↑,
90+4', Toure A. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nice could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Metz: Ba O. (Muscle Injury) Ballo-Toure F. (Muscle Injury) Madjo B. (International duty) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mboula U. (Hamstring Injury) Sy P. (Injury)

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Metz won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Nantes - Metz	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Metz - Lens	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Lille - Metz	6:1 ✺
19.10.25	Toulouse - Metz	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Metz - Olympique Marseille	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLLL
- OGC Nice
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Nice - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Nice - Lille	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Rennes - Nice	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Celta de Vigo - Nice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
27.01.24	Nice - Metz	1:0
07.10.23	Metz - Nice	0:1
23.01.22	Metz - Nice	0:2
27.11.21	Nice - Metz	0:1
21.02.21	Nice - Metz	1:2
09.01.21	Metz - Nice	1:1
09.05.20	Metz - Nice	Canceled

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