Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+


	Auxerre		Metz

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.45	3.7
	2.06	3.52	3.88
	2	3.53	3.72	Watch
	2	3.3	3.6
	2.06	3.5	3.86	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.97)	3.44 ↓ (3.58)	3.75 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Auxerre
47%

Draw
27.7%

Metz
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

26.4%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

27.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.4%	5.7%	2.9%

Auxerre - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (32 of 35 users predict this - 91.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.16% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Auxerre will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (C) 27. Sy L. 20. Diomande S. 92. Akpa C. 22. Oppegard F. 34. Matondo R. 17. El Azzouzi O. 5. Danois K. 10. Sinayoko L. 9. Mara S. 19. Danny Namaso	1. Fischer J. (G) 2. Colin M. 38. Sane S. 5. Gbamin J. 97. Ballo-Toure F. 20. Deminguet J. 8. Traore B. 14. Sabaly C. 10. Hein G. (C) 7. Tsitaishvili G. 99. Asoro J.
Substitutes
7. Casimir J. 44. Cissokho M. 40. De Percin T. (G) 36. Devernois T. 43. Diamalunda E. 18. Diousse A. 14. Mensah G. 38. Petit Dol A. 41. Zaddy Y.	40. Ba O. (G) 30. Diallo H. 39. Kouao K. 24. Madjo B. 11. Mbaye M. 23. Sane I. 21. Stambouli B. 12. Toure A. 15. Yegbe T.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Le Mignan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
36', 1 - 0, Sinayoko L. (Penalty Awarded),
39', 2 - 0, El Azzouzi O. ⚽, Mara S. (A),
45', Matondo R. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Hein G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Asoro J. ↓, Diallo H. ↑,
68', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
68', Sabaly C. ↓, Mbaye M. ↑,
73', Oppegard F. ↓, Mensah G. ↑,
73', Mara S. ↓, Casimir J. ↑,
75', Deminguet J. 🟨,
80', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
83', Mensah G. 🟨,
84', Traore B. ↓, Madjo B. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Danois K. ⚽, Danny Namaso (A),
90+4', El Azzouzi O. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
90+4', Sinayoko L. ↓, Cissokho M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 3.

Auxerre has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Metz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Auxerre could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Ankle Injury) Owusu E. (Injury) Senaya M. (Injury) Siwe T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Sy P. (Concussion)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
29.11.25	Paris FC - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Auxerre - Lyon	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Angers - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Auxerre - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Strasbourg - Auxerre	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLLL
- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
28.11.25	Metz - Rennes	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Brest - Metz	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Metz - Nice	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Nantes - Metz	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Metz - Lens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.12.22	Metz - Auxerre	1:5
French Ligue 2
06.04.19	Auxerre - Metz	0:0
05.11.18	Metz - Auxerre	0:1
Club Friendly
13.07.18	Metz - Auxerre	0:0
14.07.17	Metz - Auxerre	1:4
French Ligue 2
08.04.16	Auxerre - Metz	4:0
21.11.15	Metz - Auxerre	0:1

Upcoming Matches