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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Argyle 31.3%
Draw 32.7%
Derby County 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
28.3%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
28.2%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30.8%
23.1%
46.2%
Plymouth Argyle - Derby County Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Derby will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 19.1% – 73.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Hazard C. (G) 40. Talovierov M. 25. Katic N. (C) 6. Szucs K. 2. Mumba B. 18. Gyabi D. 4. Houghton J. 17. Puchacz T. 9. Hardie R. 11. Wright C. 15. Bundu M.
1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 12. Phillips N. 25. Clarke M. 3. Forsyth C. 2. Wilson K. 32. Adams E. (C) 28. Armstrong H. 16. Thompson L. 20. Elder C. 10. Yates J. 18. Harness M.
Substitutes
28. Al Hajj R. 19. Boateng M. 8. Edwards J. 31. Grimshaw D. (G) 35. Issaka F. 14. Obafemi M. 3. Ogbeta N. 44. Palsson V. 34. Roberts C.
7. Barkhuizen T. 38. Ebuka C. 17. Goudmijn K. 29. Hendrick J. 19. Jackson K. 6. Langas S. 24. Nyambe R. 21. Rooney J. 31. Vickers J. (G)
Coaches
Muslic M.
Eustace J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Harness M. ⚽, Phillips N. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Armstrong H. ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Bundu M. ⚽,
45+5', Phillips N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 2, Phillips N. (Own goal),
58', Thompson L. 🟨,
61', Thompson L. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
63', Wright C. ↓, Obafemi M. ↑,
72', Mumba B. ↓, Edwards J. ↑,
72', Gyabi D. ↓, Boateng M. ↑,
72', Puchacz T. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
74', Wilson K. ↓, Langas S. ↑,
80', Adams E. 🟨,
84', Szucs K. ↓, Al Hajj R. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, Harness M. ⚽, Elder C. (A),
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Plymouth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Derby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B.
(Hip Injury)
Randell A.
(Injury)
Tijani M.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Brown D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Osborn B.
(Inactive)
Ozoh D.
(Thigh Injury)
Roofe K.
(Inactive)
Salvesen L.
(Inactive)
Ward J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Plymouth: Pleguezuelo J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Derby: Langas S.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
Hungary
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Hazard C. (G) 
Talovierov M. 
Katic N. (C) 
Szucs K. 
Mumba B. 
Puchacz T. 
Hardie R. 
Bundu M. 
Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 
Adams E. (C) 
Elder C. 
Harness M. 
Issaka F. 
Palsson V. 
Goudmijn K. 
Langas S. 
Nyambe R. 
Muslic M. 
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