The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luton Town 35.6%
Draw 27.9%
Middlesbrough 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
27.1%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
27.1%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
27.3%
27.3%
Luton Town - Middlesbrough Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 28. Makosso C. 6. McGuinness M. 3. Bell A. 25. Jones I. 20. Walsh L. 18. Clark J. 8. Aasgaard T. 45. Doughty A. 9. Morris C. (C) 11. Adebayo E.
32. Travers M. (G) 15. Dijksteel A. 16. Howson J. (C) 30. Neto Borges 29. Iling Junior S. 18. Morris A. 7. Hackney H. 10. Burgzorg D. 22. Conway T. 20. Azaz F. 9. Iheanacho K.
Substitutes
47. Bowler J. 19. Brown J. 16. Burke R. 22. Dabo L. 23. Krul T. (G) 21. Miller M. 12. Naismith K. 37. Nelson Z. 44. Nordas L.
4. Barlaser D. 46. Dede J. 21. Forss M. 28. Giles R. 23. Glover T. (G) 49. McCabe L. 37. McCormick G. 11. Whittaker M. 36. Woolston L.
Coaches
Bloomfield M.
Carrick M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Iling Junior S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Adebayo E. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
64', Brown J. 🟨,
67', Walsh L. 🟨,
69', Brown J. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
70', Walsh L. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
70', Doughty A. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
75', Conway T. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
75', Dijksteel A. 🟨,
89', Hackney H. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Muscle Injury)
Chong T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Groin Injury)
Nakamba M.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L.
(Ankle Injury)
Bangura A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Brynn S.
(Injury)
Dieng S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Doak B.
(Thigh Injury)
Edmundson G.
(Ankle Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Ankle Injury)
McGree R.
(Muscle Injury)
van den Berg R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D.
(Calf Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Luton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.4:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:6 (average 2.3:1.5).
Hungary
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Kaminski T. (G) 
Makosso C. 
McGuinness M. 
Bell A. 
Jones I. 
Walsh L. 
Aasgaard T. 
Dijksteel A. 
Neto Borges 
Morris A. 
Burgzorg D. 
Conway T. 
Iheanacho K. 
Dabo L. 
Forss M. 
Glover T. (G) 
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