The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milan 59%
Draw 23.6%
Bologna 17.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.9%
23.2%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
22.6%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.9%
0%
7.1%
Milan - Bologna Predictions
Users Predictions:
Milan will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milan will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 3.
Milan has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Bologna have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bologna could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Milan has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Milan is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Milan has recorded 14 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:16 (averaging 2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Milan against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 22:7 goals (averaging 2:0.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
AC Milan
8
5
3
0
16:7
9
18
13
Bologna
8
2
2
4
8:10
-2
8
Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
AC Milan: 6.07% Bologna: 0.25%
Last Results with these Odds
Milan - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.91%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
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