Match Info

Date: 18 March 2021, Thursday


	Milan		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.95
	3.9	3.6	1.95
	3.35	3.45	2.2
	3.65	3.5	1.97
	3.77	3.69	2.01
	3.7	3.5	2
	3.84	3.74	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.36)	3.58 ↑ (3.41)	2.02 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
25.8%

Draw
26.7%

Manchester United
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

27.9%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

20.8%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.9%	14.3%	68.8%

Milan - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 154 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 26 - 16.9%). Man Utd will win (votes: 106 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 61.5% – 76.1%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. No spectators. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Milan was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (38%), has a chance of semis (19%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Man Utd was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (62%), has a chance of semis (44%), has a chance of final (30%), has a chance of win league (19%).

Recent matches Milan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Man Utd is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Man Utd will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Milan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
14.03.21	Milan - Napoli	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.03.21	Manchester United - Milan	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.03.21	Verona - Milan	0:2 ✺
03.03.21	Milan - Udinese	1:1 ✺
28.02.21	Roma - Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWTW
- Manchester United
English Premier League
14.03.21	Manchester United - West Ham United	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.03.21	Manchester United - Milan	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
07.03.21	Manchester City - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
03.03.21	Crystal Palace - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
28.02.21	Chelsea - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
11.03.21	Manchester United - Milan	1:1
International Champions Cup
03.08.19	Manchester United - Milan	3:2 penalties
25.07.18	Milan - Manchester United	1:2 penalties

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