The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 12.7%
Draw 20.6%
Fulham 66.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.7%
24.6%
56.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
15.1%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.
Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fulham's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+17.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-31.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fulham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.5%
8.1%
77.4%
Barnsley - Fulham Predictions
Users Predictions:
62 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 9 - 14.5%). Fulham will win (votes: 48 - 77.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 67% – 87.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Barnsley has the most likely position - 23 (30.6%), has project points - 36, has currently - 24, has a good chance of relegated (75%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Fulham has the most likely position - 1 (96.54%), has project points - 97, has currently - 76, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very good chance of promoted (>99%), has a very good chance of win league (97%).
This event has quality44, importance35, match rating40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 2.
Recent matches Barnsley is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fulham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Fulham is indisputable favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.
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