Match Info

Date: 8 March 2022, Tuesday


	Barnsley		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.37
	3.1	3.1	2.4
	3.2	3.3	2.35
	3.05	3.05	2.4
	3.21	3.21	2.47
	3	3.1	2.4
	3.04	3.24	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.16)	3.19 ↓ (3.27)	2.41 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
30.8%

Draw
29.8%

Stoke City
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

19.6%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stoke City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barnsley - Stoke City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 15).

Barnsley has the most likely position - 22 (30.75%), has project points - 36, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (72%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Stoke has the most likely position - 15 (15.22%), has project points - 61, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 39, small importance 25, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 1.

Recent matches Barnsley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stoke has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stoke could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Stoke will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League Championship
05.03.22	Derby County - Barnsley	2:0 ✺
26.02.22	Barnsley - Middlesbrough	3:2 ✺
22.02.22	Hull City - Barnsley	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	Coventry City - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Barnsley - Queens Park Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 LWWLW
- Stoke City
English League Championship
05.03.22	Stoke City - Blackpool	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.03.22	Crystal Palace - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
English League Championship
26.02.22	Bournemouth - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
23.02.22	Stoke City - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
19.02.22	Stoke City - Birmingham City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
15.09.21	Stoke City - Barnsley	1:1
24.02.21	Barnsley - Stoke City	2:0
21.10.20	Stoke City - Barnsley	2:2
04.07.20	Stoke City - Barnsley	4:0
09.11.19	Barnsley - Stoke City	2:4

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