Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: DW Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Watford

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.4
	2.95	3.2	2.45
	3.15	3.2	2.45
	2.9	3.2	2.42
	3.2	3.34	2.41
	2.9	3.1	2.5
	3.08	3.2	2.43	Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.12)	3.23 ↓ (3.24)	2.44 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
31.5%

Draw
29.5%

Watford
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

28.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

29.7%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	14.8%	51.9%

Wigan Athletic - Watford Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). Watford will win (votes: 14 - 51.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 33.1% – 70.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 10).

Wigan has the most likely position - 23 (8.27%), has project points - 55, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Watford has the most likely position - 2 (10.96%), has project points - 74, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

This event has quality 45, importance 39, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Wigan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Watford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Wigan: Edwards G. (Injury)

There will not play in Watford: Cleverley T. (Injury) Louza I. (Knee Injury) Manaj R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wigan: Lang C. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League Championship
22.10.22	Queens Park Rangers - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
19.10.22	Wigan Athletic - Middlesbrough	1:4 ✺
15.10.22	Sunderland - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
11.10.22	Wigan Athletic - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Wigan Athletic - Cardiff City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Watford FC
English League Championship
23.10.22	Watford - Luton Town	4:0 ✺
19.10.22	Millwall - Watford	3:0 ✺
15.10.22	Watford - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Blackpool - Watford	3:1 ✺
05.10.22	Watford - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
17.03.15	Wigan Athletic - Watford	0:2
13.12.14	Watford - Wigan Athletic	2:1
22.03.14	Wigan Athletic - Watford	2:1
28.09.13	Watford - Wigan Athletic	1:0

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