Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 42

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Portugal	Eleven Sports 5


	Mirandés		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.25
	2.1	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.44	3.5
	2.2	3.44	3.46
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.19	3.3	3.42	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.86)	3.31 ↓ (3.79)	3.39 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
43.8%

Draw
28.4%

Amorebieta
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

24.8%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

23.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mirandés's form might have worsened.

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirandés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Mirandés - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Amorebieta will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 15. Tomeo P. 5. Tachi 19. Lachuer M. 11. Chaira I. 8. Sanz A. 10. Reina A. 24. Gomez J. 9. Martin C. 29. Lauti 7. Martinez G.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 5. Bustinza U. 3. Etxeita X. 24. Gaya J. 16. Lasure D. 15. Nunez A. 8. Moran E. 20. Sibo K. 22. Morcillo J. 7. Dorrio J. 23. Unzueta I.
Substitutes
18. Javier Marton 6. Kebe I. 23. La Gumina A. 13. Lopez L. (G) 32. Luna D. 17. Mendes H. 4. Sergio Barcia 20. Verdasca D. 2. Vicente D. 25. Zubiaurre A. (G)	30. Cunat P. (G) 10. Edwards R. 14. Eraso J. 9. Jauregi E. 19. Locadia J. 1. Marino U. (G) 2. Mier J. 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I. 6. Yriarte J.
Coaches
Lisci A.	Jandro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Chaira I. 🟨,
40', Alcedo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Mier J. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
61', Tachi ↓, Verdasca D. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Martinez G. ⚽, Martin C. (A),
68', Lasure D. 🟨,
72', Unzueta I. ↓, Locadia J. ↑,
72', Moran E. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
72', Martinez G. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
80', Bustinza U. ↓, Yriarte J. ↑,
80', Lasure D. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
86', Reina A. ↓, Sanz A. ↑,
86', Martin C. ↓, Vicente D. ↑,
86', Javier Marton ↓, La Gumina A. ↑,
90+1', Gaya J. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Mirandés will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirandés won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
26.05.24	Albacete Balompié - Mirandés	2:2 ✺
17.05.24	Mirandés - Elche	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Racing Santander - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Mirandés - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
29.04.24	Ferrol - Mirandés	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTLLW
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
26.05.24	Amorebieta - Espanyol	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Tenerife - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Amorebieta - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Eibar - Amorebieta	5:0 ✺
27.04.24	Burgos - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.09.23	Amorebieta - Mirandés	2:0
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Amorebieta - Mirandés	3:1
Spanish LaLiga2
15.04.22	Amorebieta - Mirandés	1:0
23.08.21	Mirandés - Amorebieta	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.03.19	Amorebieta - Mirandés	1:0
11.11.18	Mirandés - Amorebieta	2:0
04.03.18	Mirandés - Amorebieta	0:0

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