Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 41

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Referee: Monescillo D. (Esp)


	Amorebieta		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.1	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.36
	3.4	3.17	2.36
	2.88	3.25	2.38
	3.18	3.25	2.33	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.82)	3.22 ↓ (3.29)	2.31 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
29.8%

Draw
29.3%

Espanyol
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

28.3%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

27.6%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amorebieta's performance.

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espanyol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amorebieta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espanyol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Amorebieta - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Espanyol will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amorebieta: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 5. Bustinza U. 3. Etxeita X. 24. Gaya J. 15. Nunez A. 8. Moran E. 20. Sibo K. 16. Lasure D. 7. Dorrio J. 23. Unzueta I. 22. Morcillo J.	1. Garcia J. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 5. Calero F. 6. Cabrera L. 29. Roca A. 11. Milla P. 18. Aguado A. 8. Bare K. 7. Puado J. 22. Braithwaite M. 9. Balde K.
Substitutes
21. Carbonell A. 30. Cunat P. 10. Edwards R. 14. Eraso J. 9. Jauregi E. 19. Locadia J. 1. Marino U. (G) 2. Mier J. 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I. 6. Yriarte J.	44. Bauza R. 36. Catala J. 2. Gil O. 3. Gomez S. 16. Lazo J. 27. Martinez R. 21. Melamed N. 14. Olivan B. 13. Pacheco F. (G) 24. Sanchez R. 19. Sanchez S. 39. Valles G.
Coaches
Jandro	Gonzalez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Roca A. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
61', Balde K. ↓, Valles G. ↑,
70', Morcillo J. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
70', Moran E. ↓, Yriarte J. ↑,
70', Unzueta I. ↓, Mier J. ↑,
74', Calero F. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
75', Sibo K. 🟨,
84', Dorrio J. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
85', Puado J. ↓, Olivan B. ↑,
85', Milla P. ↓, Lazo J. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Espanyol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
18.05.24	Tenerife - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Amorebieta - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Eibar - Amorebieta	5:0 ✺
27.04.24	Burgos - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Amorebieta - Valladolid	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWLTL
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
20.05.24	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Valladolid - Espanyol	0:0 ✺
05.05.24	Espanyol - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Elche - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
21.04.24	Espanyol - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.09.23	Espanyol - Amorebieta	3:2

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