Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 35

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Fanatiz
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 2
Usa	Fanatiz


	Mirassol		Ceará

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.45
	1.85	3.55	5.17
	1.76	3.52	4.87	Watch
	1.81	3.69	4.85	Watch
	1.79	3.4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)	3.52 ↑ (3.38)	4.77 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
53%

Draw
27.1%

Ceará
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

27.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

27.3%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mirassol have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	2.9%	11.4%

Mirassol - Ceará Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -2 - Mirassol (5.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Mirassol (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ceará (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Ceará (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (30 of 35 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.12% – 97.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mirassol will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 20 - 87%). Ceará (votes: 3 - 13%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Walter (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 3. Jemmes 6. Reinaldo 21. Jose Aldo 8. Danielzinho (C) 27. Gabriel 11. Negueba 96. Carlos Eduardo 91. Chico	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 70. Fabiano 44. Marcos Victor 23. Willian Machado (C) 2. Ramos R. 20. Diego 25. Vinicius Zanocelo 10. Lucas Mugni 79. Matheus Bahia 7. Pedro Henrique 27. Galeano A.
Substitutes
77. Alesson 23. Alex Muralha (G) 10. Chico Kim 17. Cristian Renato 20. Daniel Borges 16. Felipe Jonatan 44. Gabriel 4. Luiz Otavio 18. Matheus Bianqui 78. Renato Marques 5. Roni 41. Yago Felipe	11. Aylon 33. Eder 77. Fernandinho 97. Lourenco 31. Lucas Lima 3. Marllon 8. Matheus Araujo 30. Nicolas 17. Paulo Baya 1. Richard (G) 26. Richardson 75. Rodriguinho
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Leo Conde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Negueba ⚽,
17', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
23', 2 - 0, Reinaldo ⚽,
32', Willian Machado 🟨,
45+3', Fabiano 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ramos R. ↓, Aylon ↑,
52', Jemmes 🟨,
67', Jose Aldo ↓, Roni ↑,
67', Negueba ↓, Alesson ↑,
67', Chico ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
73', Walter 🟨,
77', 3 - 0, Alesson ⚽, Gabriel (A),
78', Galeano A. ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
78', Lucas Mugni ↓, Lourenco ↑,
82', Gabriel ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
90+2', Diego ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
90+3', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 14).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Mirassol is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) Edson Carioca (Muscle Injury) Neto Moura (Yellow Cards) PH (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ceará: Pedro Raul (Yellow Cards) Vina (Red Card)

There are questionable in Mirassol: Matheus Sales (Injury)

There are questionable in Ceará: Fernando Sobral (Ankle Injury) Pedro Henrique (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
19.11.25	Santos - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Mirassol - Palmeiras	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Fluminense - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Mirassol - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Sport Recife - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWLTW
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie A
20.11.25	Ceará - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Corinthians - Ceará	0:1 ✺
06.11.25	Ceará - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Ceará - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Fluminense - Ceará	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
23.07.25	Ceará - Mirassol	0:2
Brazilian Serie B
17.08.24	Ceará - Mirassol	1:2
29.04.24	Mirassol - Ceará	3:2
12.11.23	Ceará - Mirassol	2:0
16.07.23	Mirassol - Ceará	1:1

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