Match Info

Serie B - Round 36

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: U-Power Stadium (Brianteo) (Monza)

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball


	Monza		Modena

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.75	Watch
	1.52	4.05	5.5
	1.56	4.29	6.28
	1.49	4.54	5.83	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5.75
	1.58	4.03	5.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.81)	4.11 ↑ (3.5)	5.82 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
61.1%

Draw
22.8%

Modena
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26.7%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.1%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monza's performance.

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Modena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	4.2%	4.2%

Monza - Modena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Monza will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 13. Ravanelli L. 15. Delli Carri F. 44. Carboni A. 24. Bakoune A. 14. Obiang P. 32. Pessina M. (C) 19. Birindelli S. 28. Colpani A. 37. Petagna A. 10. Cutrone P.	22. Pezzolato M. (G) 77. Tonoli D. 19. Nador S. 25. Dellavalle A. 2. Beyuku G. 17. Massolin Y. 16. Gerli F. (C) 71. Wiafe S. 98. Zanimacchia L. 99. De Luca M. 10. Ambrosino G.
Substitutes
25. Alvarez A. 6. Antov V. 17. Balde K. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 30. Caso G. 26. Ciurria P. 11. Forson O. 8. Hernani 47. Mota D. 52. Mout M. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G)	28. Adorni D. 80. Arnaboldi P. 78. Bagheria F. (G) 33. Cauz C. 24. Colpo E. 29. Cotali M. 90. Imputato A. 13. Laidani A. (G) 11. Mendes P. 20. Nieling B. 18. Pyyhtia N. 7. Zampano F.
Coaches
Bianco P.	Sottil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Birindelli S. ⚽,
45+2', Tonoli D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tonoli D. ↓, Nieling B. ↑,
56', Colpani A. ↓, Hernani ↑,
56', Petagna A. ↓, Caso G. ↑,
57', Wiafe S. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
66', Ambrosino G. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
66', Beyuku G. ↓, Zampano F. ↑,
70', Cutrone P. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
78', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
85', Nieling B. 🟨,
90', Bakoune A. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Monza is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Modena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Modena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Monza is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Monza: Forson O. (Inactive) Lucchesi L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Modena: Chichizola L. (Injury) Defrel G. (Inactive) Gliozzi E. (Injury) Sersanti A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Modena: Beyuku G. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Modena	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Monza - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.51%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
17.04.26	Sampdoria - Monza	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Monza - Bari	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Catanzaro - Monza	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Monza - Venezia	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Reggiana - Monza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTTT
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
18.04.26	Modena - Frosinone	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Catanzaro - Modena	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Bari - Modena	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Modena - Mantova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.12.25	Modena - Monza	1:2
Coppa Italia
16.08.14	Modena - Monza	1:0 penalties

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