Match Info

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday


	Monaco		Lille

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.7	Watch
	2.05	3.50	3.40
	2.08	3.3	3.65
	2.09	3.42	3.9
	2.11	3.44	3.4	Watch
	2.06	3.3	3.85
	2.15	3.44	3.86	Watch
	2.01	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.21)	3.41 ↓ (3.56)	3.67 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
46%

Draw
28%

Lille
26%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26.2%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Monaco - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Lille will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Europa League League phase and 4th in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 1.

Monaco is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Lille is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lille could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Monaco is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Monaco has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:21 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Monaco against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:9 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lille	7	4	2	1	10:5	5	14
5	Monaco	7	4	2	1	10:6	4	14

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Monaco: 5.11% Lille: 4.17%

Last Results with these Odds

Monaco - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.81%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Monaco - Freiburg	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.26	Lorient - Monaco	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	CSKA Sofia - Monaco	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
10.10.26	Monaco - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Monaco - Pisa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWTW
- OSC Lille
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Lille - Galatasaray	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.10.26	Lille - Brest	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Arsenal - Lille	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
10.10.26	Lille - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Nice - Lille	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.05.26	Monaco - Lille	0:1
24.08.25	Lille - Monaco	1:0
22.02.25	Lille - Monaco	2:1
18.10.24	Monaco - Lille	0:0
24.04.24	Monaco - Lille	1:0
29.10.23	Lille - Monaco	2:0
14.05.23	Monaco - Lille	0:0

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