Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Monagas		Estudiantes de Mérida

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.14	3.20	2.85
	2.15	3.17	3.21
	2.15	3.3	3.32	Watch
	2.10	3.10	3.10
	2.07	3.14	3.25
	2.09	3.25	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.01)	3.19 ↓ (3.44)	3.16 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monagas
42.8%

Draw
28.4%

Estudiantes de Mérida
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

26.1%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monagas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 7th in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 1.

Monagas is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Estudiantes Mérida has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Monagas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Monagas holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Monagas has recorded 5 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:28 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Monagas against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 19:13 goals (averaging 1.9:1.3 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Estudiantes Merida	11	4	4	3	12:12	0	16
9	Monagas	11	4	2	5	12:13	-1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Monagas - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.47%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monagas SC
Copa Venezuela
07.10.26	Mineros de Guayana - Monagas	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
19.09.26	Rayo Zuliano - Monagas	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Monagas - Zamora	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Caracas - Monagas	0:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
09.09.26	Monagas - Bolivar	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWWW
- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
20.09.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Trujillanos	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Universidad Central	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
19.04.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas	3:2
19.07.25	Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0
06.02.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas	2:0
10.11.24	Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:3
03.11.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas	2:0
22.08.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas	2:1
01.03.24	Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida	3:2

Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide