Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Montedio Yamagata		Giravanz Kitakyushu

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.75	Watch
	1.49	3.8	5.75
	1.5	4.1	5.75	Watch
	1.5	4.1	5.8
	1.53	4.38	6.32
	1.47	3.9	6.5
	1.5	4.4	6.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.66)	4.14 ↑ (3.82)	6.04 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
62%

Draw
22.5%

Giravanz Kitakyushu
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

24.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

14.8%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-28%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montedio Yamagata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giravanz Kitakyushu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montedio Yamagata - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Montedio Yamagata has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Giravanz is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Montedio Yamagata is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Montedio Yamagata won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
28.11.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
21.11.21	Montedio Yamagata - Machida Zelvia	3:5 ✺
14.11.21	Montedio Yamagata - Omiya Ardija	2:2 ✺
07.11.21	Fagiano Okayama - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
03.11.21	Montedio Yamagata - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J2 League
28.11.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tochigi	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	JEF United Chiba - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:0 ✺
13.11.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
03.11.21	Mito HollyHock - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
03.04.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Montedio Yamagata	0:0
16.12.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Montedio Yamagata	2:0
19.09.20	Montedio Yamagata - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:2
20.11.16	Montedio Yamagata - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:0
28.02.16	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Montedio Yamagata	1:0
20.07.14	Montedio Yamagata - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:2
26.04.14	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Montedio Yamagata	0:1

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