Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Canada	beIN Connect
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Czech-republic	Voyo
France	beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, DAZN 2, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-korea	Coupang Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Fanatiz


	Le Havre		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.2
	2.18	3.45	3.35	Watch
	2.2	3.46	3.53
	2.18	3.43	3.51	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.4
	2.21	3.6	3.5	Watch
	2.18	3.45	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.22)	3.47 ↓ (3.49)	3.39 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN La Liga

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
44%

Draw
27.7%

Montpellier
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

26.9%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	39.4%	6.1%

Le Havre - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 18 - 54.5%). Montpellier will win (votes: 2 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 39.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 37.5% – 71.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Desmas A. (G) 4. Lloris G. 6. Youte Kinkoue E. 22. Salmier Y. 94. Toure A. (C) 7. Nego L. 19. Ndiaye R. 5. Targhalline O. 18. Zouaoui Y. 28. Ayew A. 8. Kechta Y.	40. Lecomte B. (G) 77. Sacko F. 52. Maksimovic N. 5. Sagnan M. 29. Tchato E. 12. Ferri J. (C) 19. Nzingoula R. 3. Sylla I. 7. Nordin A. 8. Adams A. 10. Khazri W.
Substitutes
25. Confais A. 1. Gorgelin M. (G) 29. Grandsir S. 46. Housni I. 21. Joujou A. 14. Kuzyaev D. 32. Pembele T. 11. Sabbi E. 45. Soumare I.	9. Al-Tamari M. 15. Bares G. 16. Bertaud D. (G) 44. Chennahi T. 70. Coulibaly T. 38. Gueguin A. 47. Mouanga Y. 41. Ndiaye J. 20. Toure B.
Coaches
Digard D.	Gasset J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Lloris G. 🟨,
35', Ferri J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Salmier Y. 🟨,
60', Adams A. ↓, Al-Tamari M. ↑,
68', Ndiaye R. ↓, Sabbi E. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Toure A. (Pen),
74', Tchato E. ↓, Coulibaly T. ↑,
75', Nzingoula R. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
81', Targhalline O. ↓, Kuzyaev D. ↑,
87', Sagnan M. ↓, Ndiaye J. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Le Havre has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Montpellier is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Le Havre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Le Havre will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Le Havre: Casimir J. (Yellow Cards) El Hajjam O. (Calf Injury) Joujou A. (Injury) Kitala Y. (Foot Injury) Kuzyaev D. (Groin Injury) Logbo A. (Knee Injury) Mosengo D. N. (Knee Injury) Operi C. (Red Card) Sangante A. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Montpellier: Dzodic S. (Red Card) Issoufou Y. (Thigh Injury) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Kouyate K. (Surgery) Omeragic B. (Injury) Savanier T. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Montpellier: Al-Tamari M. (Injury) Chotard J. (Thigh Injury) Fayad K. (Injury) Maamma O. (Injury) Maksimovic N. (Muscle Injury) Sainte-Luce T. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
25.10.24	Rennes - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Le Havre - Lyon	0:4 ✺
06.10.24	Brest - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Le Havre - Lille	0:3 ✺
22.09.24	Monaco - Le Havre	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 1
27.10.24	Montpellier - Toulouse	0:3 ✺
20.10.24	Montpellier - Olympique Marseille	0:5 ✺
06.10.24	Reims - Montpellier	4:2 ✺
28.09.24	Monaco - Montpellier	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Montpellier - Auxerre	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
31.03.24	Le Havre - Montpellier	0:2
13.08.23	Montpellier - Le Havre	2:2

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