Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 12

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brianteo (Monza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	14:00	ESPN 3
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	21:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	18:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	14:00	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	TLN, VIVA
Chile	14:00	ESPN 3
China	01:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	ESPN 3
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 2
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
Germany	18:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	01:00	M Plus Live
Hungary	18:00	Net4+
India	22:30	GXR World
Indonesia	00:00	Vidio
Israel	19:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	18:00	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 2, ART Sport 2
Macao	01:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	ESPN
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	18:00	VG+
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	19:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	20:00	Azam Sports 3
Turkey	20:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Arab Emirates	21:00	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Usa	12:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:00	Inter
Vietnam	00:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
International	17:00	Disney+, Onefootball


	Monza		Lazio

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.85	Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.82
	4.45	3.45	1.85
	4.79	3.45	1.89
	4.85	3.43	1.86	Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.85
	4.61	3.62	1.92	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (4.41)	3.46 ↓ (3.68)	1.86 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
20.7%

Draw
27.8%

Lazio
51.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.6%

25.9%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

25.5%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	15.4%	69.2%

Monza - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 8 - 15.4%). Lazio will win (votes: 36 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 56.7% – 81.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Turati S. (G) 4. Izzo A. 22. Mari P. (C) 44. Carboni A. 13. Pereira P. 38. Bondo W. 42. Bianco A. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 47. Mota D. 14. Maldini D. 11. Djuric M.	94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 13. Romagnoli A. (C) 34. Gila M. 30. Tavares N. 5. Vecino M. 6. Rovella N. 8. Guendouzi M. 9. Pedro 19. Dia B. 10. Zaccagni M.
Substitutes
19. Birindelli S. 5. Caldirola L. 10. Caprari G. 24. Maric M. 69. Mazza A. (G) 32. Pessina M. 37. Petagna A. 21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 52. Postiglione N. 27. Valoti M. 80. Vignato S.	76. Bordon F. 11. Castellanos T. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 2. Gigot S. 18. Isaksen G. 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 20. Tchaouna L.
Coaches
Nesta A.	Baroni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Carboni A. 🟨,
18', Pereira P. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Zaccagni M. ⚽, Guendouzi M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Bianco A. 🟨,
55', Carboni A. ↓, Pessina M. ↑,
57', Maldini D. 🟨,
60', Pedro ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
60', Dia B. ↓, Castellanos T. ↑,
75', Maldini D. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
75', Zaccagni M. ↓, Pellegrini Lu. ↑,
75', Tavares N. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
77', Isaksen G. 🟨,
84', Pessina M. 🟨,
89', Bondo W. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
89', Pereira P. ↓, Birindelli S. ↑,
90+2', Guendouzi M. ↓, Gigot S. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Recent matches Monza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lazio in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Monza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lazio is a favorite.

There will not play in Monza: Ciurria P. (Knee Injury) Cragno A. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Castrovilli G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Birindelli S. (Injury) Gagliardini R. (Injury) Petagna A. (Injury) Sensi S. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Monza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
02.11.24	Monza - Milan	0:1 ✺
30.10.24	Atalanta - Monza	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Monza - Venezia	2:2 ✺
21.10.24	Verona - Monza	0:3 ✺
06.10.24	Monza - Roma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLTWT
- SS Lazio
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Lazio - Porto	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
04.11.24	Lazio - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
31.10.24	Como - Lazio	1:5 ✺
27.10.24	Lazio - Genoa	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Twente - Lazio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.05.24	Monza - Lazio	2:2
23.09.23	Lazio - Monza	1:1
02.04.23	Monza - Lazio	0:2
10.11.22	Lazio - Monza	1:0

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