Match Info

Serie B - Round 32

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: U-Power Stadium (Brianteo) (Monza)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Israel	Sport 5 Max
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus
World	Onefootball


	Monza		Venezia

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.32	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.4
	2.78	3.05	2.58	Watch
	2.98	3.11	2.68
	2.82	3.18	2.53	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.4
	2.86	2.98	2.58	Watch
	2.46	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.42)	3.13 ↓ (3.23)	2.54 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
33.1%

Draw
29.9%

Venezia
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.7%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.3%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monza's form might have worsened.

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Monza - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Venezia will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Venezia (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 13. Ravanelli L. 15. Delli Carri F. 3. Lucchesi L. 26. Ciurria P. 14. Obiang P. 32. Pessina M. (C) 8. Hernani 7. Azzi P. 10. Cutrone P. 37. Petagna A.	1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 30. Svoboda M. (C) 33. Sverko M. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 6. Busio G. 8. Doumbia I. 5. Haps R. 10. Yeboah J. 9. Adorante A.
Substitutes
25. Alvarez A. 24. Bakoune A. 17. Balde K. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 44. Carboni A. 30. Caso G. 21. Colombo L. 28. Colpani A. 11. Forson O. 47. Mota D. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G)	37. Bohinen E. 80. Casas A. 21. Compagnon M. 28. Dagasso M. 4. Franjic B. 2. Korac S. 29. Lauberbach L. 24. Lella N. 99. Pietrelli A. 22. Plizzari A. (G) 20. Sagrado R. 16. Venturi M.
Coaches
Bianco P.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Haps R. ⚽, Yeboah J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Haps R. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Pessina M. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Hernani ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
71', Adorante A. ↓, Lauberbach L. ↑,
73', Cutrone P. 🟨,
80', Ciurria P. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
80', Cutrone P. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
86', Obiang P. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
86', Petagna A. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
87', Yeboah J. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
90+1', Perez K. ↓, Lella N. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Birindelli S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B. (Inactive) Duncan A. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Monza won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Monza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
17.03.26	Reggiana - Monza	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Monza - Palermo	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Spezia - Monza	4:2 ✺
03.03.26	Cesena - Monza	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Monza - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLWW
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
17.03.26	Venezia - Padova	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sampdoria - Venezia	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Venezia - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Venezia - Avellino	4:0 ✺
28.02.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.12.25	Venezia - Monza	2:0
Italian Serie A
12.04.25	Venezia - Monza	1:0
27.10.24	Monza - Venezia	2:2
Italian Serie B
20.03.21	Monza - Venezia	1:4
11.12.20	Venezia - Monza	0:2
Italian Serie C Group A
28.02.15	Monza - Venezia	1:2
11.10.14	Venezia - Monza	0:1

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