Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 36

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Greenhous Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Welch R. (Eng)


	Shrewsbury Town		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	6
	1.65	3.6	5.25
	1.6	3.75	6.15
	1.63	3.55	5.4
	1.67	3.73	5.93
	1.7	3.4	5.5
	1.66	3.68	5.45	Watch
	1.65	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)	3.61 ↓ (3.73)	5.64 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
57.1%

Draw
26.1%

Morecambe
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24.6%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

24.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Shrewsbury Town - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: Shrewsbury Town will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Shrewsbury has the most likely position - 10 (32.15%), has project points - 66, has currently - 52, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Morecambe has the most likely position - 22 (24.28%), has project points - 43, has currently - 33, has a good chance of relegated (61%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 17, importance 32, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Shrewsbury have a series of guest games.

In this match Shrewsbury is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
07.03.23	Peterborough United - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Derby County - Shrewsbury Town	2:2 ✺
25.02.23	Shrewsbury Town - Wycombe Wanderers	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Accrington Stanley - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
14.02.23	Exeter City - Shrewsbury Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTWLT
- Morecambe
English League One
07.03.23	Cambridge United - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Morecambe - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Fleetwood Town - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
21.02.23	Morecambe - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Morecambe - Peterborough United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
30.07.22	Morecambe - Shrewsbury Town	0:0
15.03.22	Shrewsbury Town - Morecambe	5:0
14.08.21	Morecambe - Shrewsbury Town	2:0
English FA Cup
02.12.17	Shrewsbury Town - Morecambe	2:0
English League Two
17.03.15	Morecambe - Shrewsbury Town	1:4
20.12.14	Shrewsbury Town - Morecambe	1:0
24.03.12	Morecambe - Shrewsbury Town	N/A

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