Match Info
NPL Premier Division - Round 42Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday
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Morpeth Town |
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Warrington Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.05 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
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2.05 |
3.48 |
2.96 |
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2.05 |
3.76 |
3.16 |
 Watch |
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2.05 |
3.2 |
3 |
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2.02 |
3.42 |
3.19 |
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1.95 |
3.5 |
3.25 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.98) |
3.44 ↓
(3.51) |
3.11 ↓
(3.25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Morpeth Town
44.6% | Draw
26.3% | Warrington Town
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Warrington Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morpeth Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)Morpeth Town - Warrington Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 0, Dowling W. ⚽,
- 83', 2 - 0, Hooper J. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 1.Morpeth is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Warrington is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Warrington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Morpeth will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Morpeth won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Warrington | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 4 | 18 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Warrington Town - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.05%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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