The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Motor Lublin 38.6%
Draw 26.9%
Raków Częstochowa 34.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.1%
27.8%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
27.4%
35.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Motor Lublin - Raków Częstochowa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Popa M. (G) 27. Bourhane Y. 18. Bereszynski B. 4. Plavotic T. 29. Santos T. 9. Rony Lopes 6. Legowski M. 24. Luberecki F. 30. Ndiaye M. 11. Fabio Ronaldo 10. Czubak K. (C)
1. Trelowski K. (G) 25. Racovitan B. (C) 6. Repka O. 4. Svarnas S. 20. Silva J. C. 23. Struski K. 10. Kochergin V. 26. Otieno E. 9. Makuch P. 11. Emreli M. 15. Kwiatkowski O.
Substitutes
70. Aiko M. 39. Bartos M. 90. Gregorski D. 8. Kikis 17. Lukoszek K. 2. Meyer P. 77. Posmyk M. 47. Tall A. 33. Tratnik G. (G)
99. Basse A. 3. Brorsson A. 39. Brusberg I. 5. Bulat M. 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 17. Jendryka J. 71. Karic T. (G) 21. Pienko T. 19. Zatterstrom N.
Coaches
Misiura M.
Szwarga D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Otieno E. 🟨,
18', Zatterstrom N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Ndiaye M. (Penalty Awarded),
55', Repka O. 🟨,
61', Otieno E. ↓, Jendryka J. ↑,
61', Kwiatkowski O. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
71', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
71', Rony Lopes ↓, Kikis ↑,
74', Bereszynski B. 🟨,
78', Santos T. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
82', Emreli M. ↓, Basse A. ↑,
82', Zatterstrom N. ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
85', Luberecki F. ↓, Meyer P. ↑,
85', Ndiaye M. ↓, Bartos M. ↑,
90+2', Bereszynski B. 🟥,
90+4', 1 - 1, Diaby-Fadiga L. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Trelowski K. ↓, Karic T. ↑,
91', Czubak K. ↓, Tall A. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Diaby-Fadiga L. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Bourhane Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Pienko T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Lukoszek K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kochergin V. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Meyer P. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Racovitan B. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Aiko M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motor won 0.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Motor could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Motor has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:12 (averaging 0.7:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Motor against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 1:6 goals (averaging 0.3:2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Motor Lublin - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.1%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Raków Częstochowa - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.1%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.
Poland
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Popa M. (G) 
Bourhane Y. 
Bereszynski B. 
Plavotic T. 
Santos T. 
Rony Lopes 
Ndiaye M. 
Svarnas S. 
Silva J. C. 
Kochergin V. 
Otieno E. 
Emreli M. 
Aiko M. 
Bartos M. 
Tratnik G. (G) 
Brorsson A. 
Diaby-Fadiga L. 
Karic T. (G) 
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