Match Info

Date: 8 January 2021, Friday


	Náutico Capibaribe		Paraná Clube Curitiba

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.75	Watch
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.18	2.85	3.35	Watch
	2.08	3	3.65
	2.16	3.27	3.77
	2.1	3	3.75
	2.14	3.15	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.96)	3.04 ↓ (3.14)	3.6 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
43.9%

Draw
30.4%

Paraná Clube Curitiba
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

29.7%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

23.1%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Paraná Clube Curitiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paraná Clube Curitiba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	15.4%	23.1%

Náutico Capibaribe - Paraná Clube Curitiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Paraná will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Náutico: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 18 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

Recent matches Náutico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paraná is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paraná could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Náutico will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Náutico won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
04.01.21	Confiança - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
22.12.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
19.12.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
16.12.20	Chapecoense - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
13.12.20	Botafogo SP - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWTT
- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie B
04.01.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
28.12.20	Chapecoense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
21.12.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1 ✺
17.12.20	CRB Maceio - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:2 ✺
12.12.20	América Mineiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
06.10.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0
26.09.17	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0
13.06.17	Náutico Capibaribe - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:2
24.09.16	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2
11.06.16	Náutico Capibaribe - Paraná Clube Curitiba	5:1
07.11.15	Náutico Capibaribe - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0
28.07.15	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0

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