Match Info

Date: 7 June 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: Rodrigues de Souza F. (Bra)


	Náutico Capibaribe		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.87	2.4
	3.05	2.85	2.38
	3.2	2.8	2.36
	3.42	2.92	2.51
	2.9	2.75	2.7
	3.16	2.92	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.69)	2.85 ↓ (3.11)	2.48 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
29.7%

Draw
32.7%

Vasco da Gama
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

30.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

31.3%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náutico Capibaribe's form might have worsened.

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.1%	67.9%	16.1%

Náutico Capibaribe - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 9 - 16.1%). Vasco will win (votes: 9 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 38 - 67.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Náutico won 1.

Recent matches Náutico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vasco is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Náutico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vasco have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
04.06.22	Brusque - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
26.05.22	Ituano - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
19.05.22	Náutico Capibaribe - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
15.05.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
06.05.22	Vila Nova - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTLL
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
02.06.22	Vasco da Gama - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
26.05.22	Vasco da Gama - Brusque	2:0 ✺
19.05.22	Guarani - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
15.05.22	Vasco da Gama - Bahia	1:0 ✺
07.05.22	Vasco da Gama - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.10.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Vasco da Gama	2:2
18.07.21	Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1
01.10.16	Náutico Capibaribe - Vasco da Gama	3:1
14.06.16	Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe	3:2
20.09.14	Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1
12.08.14	Náutico Capibaribe - Vasco da Gama	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
01.12.13	Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0

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