Match Info

Date: 19 May 2022, Thursday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Alves P. (Bra)


	Guarani		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	2.7	2.7
	2.88	2.65	2.7
	2.85	2.7	2.7
	3	2.83	2.89
	3	2.7	2.62
	2.99	2.75	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.15)	2.72 ↓ (2.78)	2.73 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
31.7%

Draw
34.2%

Vasco da Gama
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

34.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

35.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Guarani aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	50%	27.8%

Guarani - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 8 - 22.2%). Vasco will win (votes: 10 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.7% – 66.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches Guarani is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vasco is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guarani won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
14.05.22	Tombense - Guarani	1:1 ✺
08.05.22	Guarani - Ponte Preta	0:0 ✺
03.05.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Guarani	1:1 ✺
27.04.22	Guarani - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
21.04.22	Grêmio - Guarani	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTTWL
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
15.05.22	Vasco da Gama - Bahia	1:0 ✺
07.05.22	Vasco da Gama - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
01.05.22	Tombense - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
27.04.22	Vasco da Gama - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
22.04.22	Chapecoense - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
04.11.21	Guarani - Vasco da Gama	1:0
24.07.21	Vasco da Gama - Guarani	4:1

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