Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 33

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade des Antonins (Nîmes)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Nîmes		Pau

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.9
	2.3	3.25	3
	2.46	3.29	3.11
	2.35	3.1	3
	2.38	3.32	2.98	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.29)	3.24 ↓ (3.29)	2.98 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nîmes
39.5%

Draw
29%

Pau
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.4%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

30.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	50%	8.3%

Nîmes - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 13).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (42.5%), project points - 37, currently - 29, a good chance of relegated (89%), not chance of promoted.

Pau has the most likely position - 12 (17.12%), project points - 48, currently - 40, a very small chance of relegated (2%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 27, small importance 20, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Nîmes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pau is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
22.04.23	Paris FC - Nîmes	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Nîmes - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Amiens - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Nîmes - Annecy	4:0 ✺
18.03.23	Bordeaux - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
22.04.23	Pau - Guingamp	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Sochaux - Pau	2:3 ✺
08.04.23	Pau - Metz	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Pau - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Dijon - Pau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
22.10.22	Pau - Nîmes	1:0
01.02.22	Pau - Nîmes	0:3
14.08.21	Nîmes - Pau	0:0

Upcoming Matches