Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 24

Date: 2 February 2024, Friday

Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)

Referee: Vos M. (Ned)


	NAC Breda		De Graafschap

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.75
	1.93	3.6	3.3
	1.95	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.7	3.6
	1.99	3.88	3.63
	1.91	3.7	3.25
	1.99	3.74	3.39	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.9)	3.72 ↑ (3.71)	3.48 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
48%

Draw
25.2%

De Graafschap
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

25.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

25.9%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

NAC Breda - De Graafschap Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kortsmit R. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 21. Royo M. 6. Staring C. 39. Janosek D. 11. Sejdiu P. 10. Omarsson E. 20. Jensen F. 22. Omgba A.	35. Jansen T. (G) 22. Fortes J. 14. Hardeman J. 4. Schenk X. 28. Buttner A. 11. Colyn S. 23. Brittijn P. 8. Warmerdam D. 7. Bosilj D. 9. Haen D. 33. Onal B.
Substitutes
23. Besselink R. 19. Boere T. 9. Haugen S. 30. Jaddi A. 14. Kaied A. 3. Koscelnik M. 49. Troost T. (G) 25. Valerius C. 31. Wernersson V.	1. Bakker M. (G) 18. Buttner G. 26. Hassan B. 6. Kaak L. 10. Mahi M. 25. Schoppema L. 15. Seuntjens R. 12. van der Logt J. 30. van Gilst T. 36. van Riel J. 16. Wieggers T. (G) 24. Willemsen M.
Coaches
van Gastel J.	Vreman J.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Breda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Breda will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Breda: Vet J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Breda: Leemans C. (Injury) van Schuppen B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in De Graafschap: Hillen R. (Knee Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Breda won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.01.24	Helmond Sport - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Emmen - NAC Breda	2:3 ✺
22.12.23	NAC Breda - Willem II	1:2 ✺
15.12.23	ADO Den Haag - NAC Breda	3:1 ✺
08.12.23	NAC Breda - FC Oss	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLW
- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.01.24	De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo	3:0 ✺
22.01.24	De Graafschap - Jong PSV	4:2 ✺
19.01.24	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	0:1 ✺
12.01.24	ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap	5:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.12.23	Quick Boys - De Graafschap	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.11.23	De Graafschap - NAC Breda	1:0
10.02.23	NAC Breda - De Graafschap	2:0
09.09.22	De Graafschap - NAC Breda	1:1
11.03.22	NAC Breda - De Graafschap	2:0
20.08.21	De Graafschap - NAC Breda	2:0
28.03.21	NAC Breda - De Graafschap	3:1
11.11.20	De Graafschap - NAC Breda	1:0

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