Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 7

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Goffertstadion (Nijmegen)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	NEC Nijmegen		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.6	3.25
	2.12	3.7	3.25	Watch
	2.09	3.6	3.28
	2.15	3.79	3.35
	2.05	3.6	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.7	3.25	Watch
	2.07	3.6	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.4)	3.64 ↑ (3.56)	3.3 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
45.2%

Draw
26.1%

Vitesse
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.5%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

27.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitesse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	31.6%	5.3%

NEC Nijmegen - Vitesse Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Vitesse will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Roefs R. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 3. Sandler P. 17. Nuytinck B. 24. Verdonk C. 71. Proper D. 20. Schone L. (C) 10. Hansen S. 8. Mattsson M. 11. Gonzalez R. 12. Dost B.	1. Room E. (G) 2. Arcus C. 15. Hendriks R. 6. Oroz D. 5. Mica Pinto 20. Meulensteen M. 17. Kozlowski K. 42. Manhoef M. 8. van Ginkel M. (C) 25. de Regt G. 10. Hamulic S.
Substitutes
6. Hoedemakers M. 31. Janse R. (G) 14. Larsen L. O. 35. Netten L. 18. Ogawa K. 32. Rossen N. 4. Ross M. 23. Sano K.	44. Altena J. 55. Bramel T. (G) 13. Cornelisse E. 22. Domgjoni T. 56. Egbring M. 29. Isimat-Mirin N. 26. Jonathans M. 31. Schubert M. (G) 43. Van Zwam G.
Coaches
Meijer R.	Cocu P.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 0.

Recent matches Nijmegen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitesse has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vitesse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nijmegen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie
23.09.23	NEC Nijmegen - Utrecht	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	4:0 ✺
01.09.23	Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk	3:0 ✺
18.08.23	Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWL
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
27.09.23	Twente - Vitesse	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Vitesse	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Vitesse - Waalwijk	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Vitesse - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Vitesse - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
16.04.23	NEC Nijmegen - Vitesse	1:4
15.01.23	Vitesse - NEC Nijmegen	0:0
27.02.22	Vitesse - NEC Nijmegen	4:1
17.10.21	NEC Nijmegen - Vitesse	0:1
02.04.17	Vitesse - NEC Nijmegen	2:1
23.10.16	NEC Nijmegen - Vitesse	1:1
03.04.16	NEC Nijmegen - Vitesse	2:1

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