Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Goffertstadion (Nijmegen)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	NEC Nijmegen		Volendam

	1	X	2
	1.29	6	8	Watch
	1.28	5.85	9.7
	1.31	6.2	9.32
	1.28	6.04	9.31	Watch
	1.29	5.5	8
	1.33	6.48	8.22	Watch
	1.33	5.6	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)	5.95 ↑ (4.97)	8.62 ↑ (8.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
73%

Draw
16%

Volendam
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.7%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

18.1%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

NEC Nijmegen - Volendam Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Volendam will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Volendam (6.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Nijmegen (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 3 - 75%). Volendam (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cillessen J. (G) 2. Pereira B. 3. Sandler P. 24. Fonville D. 25. Ouaissa S. 6. Nejasmic D. 23. Sano K. 11. Onal B. 20. Lebreton N. 10. Chery T. (C) 30. Linssen B.	1. van Oevelen K. (G) 5. Ugwu P. 3. Amevor M. (C) 20. Verschuren N. 32. Leliendal Y. 40. van Cruijsen R. 7. Kokcu O. 23. Kwakman D. 77. Ould-Chikh B. 4. Bacuna J. 11. Oehlers A.
Substitutes
9. Danilo Pereira 34. El Kachati Y. 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 31. Janse R. (G) 4. Kaplan A. 7. Misidjan V. 17. Nuytinck B. 18. Ogawa K. 5. Ouwejan T. 71. Proper D. 15. Willems J. 19. Willumsson W. T.	25. Blondeau L. 15. Bouziane A. 17. Ideho J. 27. Mau-Asam M. 14. Meijers A. 21. Muhren R. 2. Payne D. 6. Plat A. 30. Samson Y. (G)
Coaches
Schreuder D.	Kruys R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Sandler P. 🟨,
30', Pereira B. ↓, Kaplan A. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Lebreton N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ould-Chikh B. ↓, Ideho J. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Onal B. ⚽, Lebreton N. (A),
56', Bacuna J. ↓, Muhren R. ↑,
56', Oehlers A. ↓, Plat A. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Ouaissa S. ⚽, Chery T. (A),
70', Leliendal Y. ↓, Meijers A. ↑,
74', Onal B. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
74', Linssen B. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
84', Kokcu O. ↓, Mau-Asam M. ↑,
86', Chery T. ↓, Hansen-Aaroen I. ↑,
86', Nejasmic D. ↓, Proper D. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Nijmegen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nijmegen is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 46:15. (average 2.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:4. (average 2.9:0.5).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

FC Volendam: 1.95% Nijmegen: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12:13	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.03.26	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
28.02.26	NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Ajax - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
17.02.26	Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	NEC Nijmegen - Utrecht	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTTL
- FC Volendam
Dutch Eredivisie
01.03.26	Volendam - Groningen	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	NAC Breda - Volendam	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Volendam - PSV Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Zwolle - Volendam	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
04.02.26	NEC Nijmegen - Volendam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
04.02.26	NEC Nijmegen - Volendam	1:0
Dutch Eredivisie
07.12.25	Volendam - NEC Nijmegen	2:3
01.03.24	Volendam - NEC Nijmegen	2:5
05.11.23	NEC Nijmegen - Volendam	3:3
25.02.23	NEC Nijmegen - Volendam	3:0
14.08.22	Volendam - NEC Nijmegen	1:4
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.03.21	NEC Nijmegen - Volendam	1:0

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