Match Info

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday


	Nacional		Braga

	1	X	2
	6	3.9	1.51	Watch
	5.50	4.10	1.55
	5.4	4.05	1.55
	5.75	4.21	1.57
	5.7	4.04	1.57	Watch
	5.65	3.95	1.55
	6.1	4.23	1.59
	5.6	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.71 ↓ (6.6)	4.06 ↓ (4.2)	1.56 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
16.4%

Draw
23.1%

Braga
60.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.3%

22.4%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

20%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Nacional - Braga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th in the Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.

Nacional is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Braga is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nacional could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Braga for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nacional has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:51 (averaging 0.8:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nacional against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with 6:22 goals (averaging 0.7:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Braga	8	3	2	3	9:10	-1	11
16	Nacional	8	1	1	6	9:18	-9	4

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Braga: 0.75% Nacional: 0.19%

Last Results with these Odds

Braga - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 63.27%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Taça de Portugal
17.10.26	Sanjoanense - Nacional	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.10.26	Rio Ave - Nacional	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Nacional - Famalicão	0:4 ✺
12.09.26	Nacional - Alverca	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Sporting Lisbon - Nacional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SC Braga
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Braga - Gent	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
19.10.26	Braga - Gil Vicente	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Copenhagen - Braga	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
09.10.26	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Santa Clara - Braga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
28.02.26	Nacional - Braga	1:2
Taça de Portugal
23.11.25	Braga - Nacional	4:2
Liga Portugal
28.09.25	Braga - Nacional	0:1
21.02.25	Braga - Nacional	1:0
20.09.24	Nacional - Braga	0:3
Portuguese League Cup
22.12.23	Nacional - Braga	1:3
Taça de Portugal
25.04.23	Braga - Nacional	2:2

Nacional - Braga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide