Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🔴 Live Now

Location: Estádio da Madeira (Funchal) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	15:00	Disney+
Denmark	19:00	Bold+
France	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Germany	19:00	Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Switzerland	19:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	14:00	beIN Connect


	Nacional		Braga

	1	X	2
	7.00	4.20	1.42	Watch
	6.25	4.20	1.49
	6.25	4.00	1.52
	6.97	4.53	1.49
	6.6	4.28	1.49	Watch
	6.85	4.45	1.47
	6.93	4.43	1.51
	6.40	4.30	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.66 ↑ (6.6)	4.3 ↑ (4.2)	1.48 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
14.2%

Draw
22%

Braga
63.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.3%

22.4%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

20%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nacional - Braga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga (votes: 2 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Braga (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Braga will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marin R. (G) 7. Jensen M. 33. Goncalves C. 6. Matheus Dias 38. Ze Vitor (C) 21. Kokolo W. 11. Gavriel S. 15. Labidi C. 8. Baeza M. 12. Song Min-Kyu 29. Njoya A.	31. Bernardo (G) 14. Lagerbielke G. 22. Sergio Barcia 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 2. Gomez V. 29. Gorby 16. Marques T. 11. Gabriel Silva 10. Victor P. 21. Horta R. (C) 17. Milosevic J.
Substitutes
10. Daniel Junior 88. Deivison 2. de la Cruz D. I. 20. Djalo M. 31. Dongmo D. 14. Fernandes I. 13. Joao Goncalves (G) 5. Jose Gomes 17. Nava F. 9. Obando A. 99. Pablo Ruan 26. Silva J.	44. Bajrami A. 37. Barisic A. 78. Carvalho J. (G) 20. Dorgeles M. 23. Huseinbasic D. 77. Martinez G. 8. Moutinho J. 9. Navarro F. 50. Rodrigues D. 34. Tiknaz D. E. 7. Travassos 6. Vitor Carvalho
Coaches
Henriques J.	Carvalho F.

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 17th in the Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.

Nacional has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Braga has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nacional could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Braga for this game.

Confirmed absences for Nacional: Leo Santos (Knee Injury) Liziero (Inactive) Soares F. (Muscle Injury) Ulisses (Broken calfbone) Wesley Gasolina (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Braga: Niakate S. (Achilles Tendon Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nacional has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:51 (averaging 0.8:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nacional against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with 6:22 goals (averaging 0.7:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Braga	8	3	2	3	9:10	-1	11
17	Nacional	8	1	1	6	9:18	-9	4

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Braga: 0.74% Nacional: 0.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Braga - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 63.27%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Taça de Portugal
17.10.26	Sanjoanense - Nacional	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.10.26	Rio Ave - Nacional	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Nacional - Famalicão	0:4 ✺
12.09.26	Nacional - Alverca	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Sporting Lisbon - Nacional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SC Braga
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Braga - Gent	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
19.10.26	Braga - Gil Vicente	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Copenhagen - Braga	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
09.10.26	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Santa Clara - Braga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
28.02.26	Nacional - Braga	1:2
Taça de Portugal
23.11.25	Braga - Nacional	4:2
Liga Portugal
28.09.25	Braga - Nacional	0:1
21.02.25	Braga - Nacional	1:0
20.09.24	Nacional - Braga	0:3
Portuguese League Cup
22.12.23	Nacional - Braga	1:3
Taça de Portugal
25.04.23	Braga - Nacional	2:2

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