The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional 41.6%
Draw 29.4%
Vitoria Guimarães 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
22.7%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
23.5%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional's form might have worsened.
Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.7%
40%
33.3%
Nacional - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Guimarães will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Guimarães (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.5 - Guimarães (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kaique Pereira (G) 16. Nunez A. 34. Leo Santos 38. Ze Vitor 5. Jose Gomes 22. Soares F. 6. Matheus Dias 15. Labidi C. 7. Witi 9. Ramirez J. (C) 11. Paulinho Boia
27. Charles Silva (G) 2. Maga 28. Thiago Balieiro 26. Abascal R. 82. Dias F. 30. Nogueira G. 80. Rocha R. 18. Arcanjo T. 20. Samu (C) 19. Camara O. 11. Gustavo
Substitutes
2. Aurelio J. 10. Daniel Junior 27. Gabriel Veron 33. Goncalves C. 19. Joao L. 50. Medeiros de Freitas K. V. (G) 99. Pablo Ruan 18. Sousa A. 30. Watts
25. Castillo J. (G) 13. Mendes J. II. 88. Nogueira M. 46. Nunes H. 33. Opara E. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 48. Saviolo N. 66. Strata T. 50. Zeega
Coaches
Margarido T.
Lameiras G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Rocha R. 🟨,
25', Jose Gomes 🟨,
32', Witi 🟨,
32', Soares F. 🟨,
32', Dias F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Matheus Dias 🟨,
62', Camara O. ↓, Saviolo N. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Ramirez J. ⚽, Witi (A),
70', Witi ↓, Pablo Ruan ↑,
78', Samu (Penalty Awarded),
80', Rocha R. ↓, Nunes H. ↑,
80', Samu ↓, Zeega ↑,
80', Arcanjo T. ↓, Nogueira M. ↑,
84', Zeega 🟨,
86', 2 - 0, Ramirez J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Labidi C. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
90+1', Soares F. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
90+3', Paulinho Boia ↓, Aurelio J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Nacional might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Nacional: Fernandes I.
(Injury)
Ulisses
(Broken calfbone)
There are questionable in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Injury)
Lucas Franca
(Thigh Injury)
Vallier L.
(Inactive)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
Portugal
Ukraine
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Kaique Pereira (G) 
Nunez A. 
Jose Gomes 
Labidi C. 
Witi 
Ramirez J. (C) 
Abascal R. 
Arcanjo T. 
Camara O. 
Joao L. 
Castillo J. (G) 
Opara E. 
Rivas Viondi O. 
Strata T. 
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