Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 34

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Toyota City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball, QQ Sports
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Nagoya Grampus		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.4
	2.03	3.36	3.46	Watch
	2.11	3.56	3.68
	2.06	3.5	3.6	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	2.05	3.58	3.59	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.02)	3.45 ↓ (3.46)	3.53 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagoya Grampus
46.1%

Draw
27.2%

Consadole Sapporo
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

26.8%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Consadole Sapporo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Nagoya Grampus - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Langerak M. (G) 34. Uchida T. 20. Mikuni K. 2. Nogami Y. 33. Kikuchi T. 15. Inagaki S. 8. Shiihashi K. 55. Tokumoto S. 14. Morishima T. 18. Nagai K. 11. Yamagishi Y.	1. Sugeno T. (G) 2. Takao R. 50. Okamura D. 3. Park Min-Gyu 25. Osaki L. 33. Kondo T. 14. Komai Y. 11. Aoki R. 4. Suga D. 71. Shirai H. 7. Suzuki M.
Substitutes
3. Ha Chang-Rae 77. Junker K. 27. Nakayama K. 10. Patric 19. Shigehiro T. 16. Takeda Y. (G) 66. Yamanaka R.	27. Arano T. 88. Baba S. 13. Kim Gun-Hee 17. Kodama J. (G) 10. Miyazawa H. 6. Nakamura T. 19. Sarachat S.
Coaches
Hasegawa K.	Petrovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Park Min-Gyu 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Komai Y. ⚽, Kondo T. (A),
37', Mikuni K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nagai K. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
53', Tokumoto S. 🟨,
67', Tokumoto S. ↓, Yamanaka R. ↑,
68', Aoki R. ↓, Sarachat S. ↑,
68', Suga D. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
74', Shirai H. ↓, Miyazawa H. ↑,
74', Takao R. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
74', Shiihashi K. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
78', Osaki L. ↓, Arano T. ↑,
82', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Patric ↑,
82', Uchida T. ↓, Shigehiro T. ↑,
84', Mikuni K. 🟨,
88', 0 - 2, Suzuki M. ⚽, Park Min-Gyu (A),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Consadole Sapporo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nagoya will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:17 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Nagoya won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nagoya Grampus
Japan J League Cup
13.10.24	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2 ✺
09.10.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus	1:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
04.10.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Nagoya Grampus - Júbilo Iwata	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWW
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J1 League
05.10.24	Gamba Osaka - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Kyoto Sanga	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Machida Zelvia - Consadole Sapporo	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
08.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
03.04.24	Consadole Sapporo - Nagoya Grampus	1:2
23.09.23	Nagoya Grampus - Consadole Sapporo	1:1
27.05.23	Consadole Sapporo - Nagoya Grampus	1:2
30.07.22	Consadole Sapporo - Nagoya Grampus	2:2
10.04.22	Nagoya Grampus - Consadole Sapporo	0:2
25.08.21	Consadole Sapporo - Nagoya Grampus	0:2
06.03.21	Nagoya Grampus - Consadole Sapporo	1:0

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