Match Info

A-League - Round 18

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: McDonald Jones Stadium (Newcastle)

Referee: Abraham B. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 9
Philippines	SPOTV
South-korea	SPOTV
Thailand	SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	SPOTV


	Newcastle Jets		Macarthur FC

	1	X	2
	1.81	4.2	3.5	Watch
	1.82	4.15	3.55	Watch
	2.02	4.25	3.39
	1.89	4.33	3.5	Watch
	1.85	3.9	3.3
	1.92	4.24	3.56	Watch
	1.8	4.33	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.9)	4.2 ↑ (3.92)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Jets
50.4%

Draw
22.5%

Macarthur FC
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

23.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

22.7%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Macarthur FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macarthur FC than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Macarthur will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Macarthur (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Macarthur (2.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle Jets will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 3 - 60%). Macarthur (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delianov J. (G) 22. Bertolissio J. 5. Shaughnessy J. 33. Natta M. 23. Wilmering D. 14. Burgess M. (C) 7. Adams E. 28. Dobson W. 8. Bayliss L. 13. Taylor C. 9. Rose L.	1. Robinson A. (G) 25. Talbot C. 3. Da Silva D. 6. Uskok T. 18. Scott W. 22. Rose L. 8. Vickery L. 24. Bosnjak D. 10. Caceres A. (C) 7. Grzan S. 28. Sawyer H.
Substitutes
43. Bertoncello X. 11. Gibson B. 17. Grozos K. 18. Mizunuma K. 20. Nassiep A. (G) 24. Nunes A. 41. Scicluna L.	26. Brattan L. 15. Duke M. 13. Duran R. 9. Ikonomidis C. 12. Kurto F. (G) 32. McKay W. 14. Popovic K.
Coaches
Milligan M.	Sterjovski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Burgess M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Caceres A. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Bayliss L. ⚽,
56', Grzan S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
56', Vickery L. ↓, Ikonomidis C. ↑,
65', Adams E. 🟨,
66', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
67', Caceres A. ↓, Duran R. ↑,
68', Bosnjak D. ↓, Brattan L. ↑,
77', Dobson W. ↓, Scicluna L. ↑,
78', Taylor C. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
90+1', Adams E. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.

Newcastle is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Macarthur has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Newcastle might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Newcastle: Badolato A. (Knee Injury) Baylis J. (Inactive) Bracco C. (Knee Injury) Clough Z. (Groin Injury) Fryer O. (Knee Injury) Grozos K. (Calf Injury) James N. (Inactive) Nkomo R. (Inactive) Van Dorssen B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Macarthur: Ji Dong-Won (Ankle Injury) Oliveira B. (Injury) Oliveira H. (Inactive) Politidis H. (Inactive)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 2.3:2.4).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Newcastle Jets: 13.59% Macarthur FC: 8.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Macarthur FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League
13.02.26	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar	4:1 ✺
23.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWW
- Macarthur FC
AFC Champions League 2
19.02.26	Macarthur FC - Bangkok United	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	Bangkok United - Macarthur FC	2:0 ✺
Australian A-League
06.02.26	Macarthur FC - Perth Glory	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Adelaide United - Macarthur FC	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Macarthur FC - Melbourne City	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
26.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC	4:5
Australian Cup
24.08.25	Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC	3:0
Australian A-League
28.03.25	Macarthur FC - Newcastle Jets	3:3
12.01.25	Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC	1:3
25.10.24	Macarthur FC - Newcastle Jets	1:2
Australian Cup
25.08.24	Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC	3:4
Australian A-League
25.02.24	Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC	2:2

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