Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 19 September 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sanchez J. M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	18:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	19:45	CMore, CMore Sport
France	18:45	beIN Sports
Hungary	18:45	Sport 1
Italy	18:45	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Portugal	17:45	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	19:45	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub
Sweden	18:45	TV4
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Milan		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.63
	2.72	3.25	2.78	Watch
	2.68	3.28	2.68
	2.75	3.3	2.82
	2.4	3.2	2.6
	2.63	3.34	2.7
	2.75	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.38)	3.27 ↓ (3.56)	2.71 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: UNIMAS (KAJB - Yuma)

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Current Win Probability

Milan
35.8%

Draw
29.1%

Newcastle United
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.5%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

26.1%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
49.1%	29.1%	21.8%

Milan - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 27 - 49.1%). Newcastle will win (votes: 12 - 21.8%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 29.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 35.9% – 62.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (G) 2. Calabria D. (C) 28. Thiaw M. 23. Tomori F. 19. Hernandez T. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 33. Krunic R. 32. Pobega T. 21. Chukwueze S. 9. Giroud O. 10. Leao R.	22. Pope N. (G) 2. Trippier K. (C) 5. Schar F. 4. Botman S. 33. Burn D. 36. Longstaff S. 39. Guimaraes B. 8. Tonali S. 23. Murphy J. 14. Isak A. 10. Gordon A.
Substitutes
7. Adli Y. 95. Bartesaghi D. 42. Florenzi A. 15. Jovic L. 24. Kjaer S. 83. Mirante A. (G) 80. Musah Y. 17. Okafor N. 11. Pulisic C. 14. Reijnders T. 57. Sportiello M. (G)	24. Almiron M. 32. Anderson E. 15. Barnes H. 3. Dummett P. 20. Hall L. 84. Harris A. (G) 18. Karius L. (G) 6. Lascelles J. 21. Livramento V. 67. Miley L. 13. Targett M. 9. Wilson C.
Coaches
Pioli S.	Howe E.

Preview

Milan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Newcastle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I. (Knee Injury) Caldara M. (Ankle Injury) Kalulu P. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Newcastle: Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Willock J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Joelinton (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
16.09.23	Inter Milan - Milan	5:1 ✺
01.09.23	Roma - Milan	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Milan - Torino	4:1 ✺
21.08.23	Bologna - Milan	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.23	Milan - Novara	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW
- Newcastle United
English Premier League
16.09.23	Newcastle United - Brentford	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United	3:1 ✺
27.08.23	Newcastle United - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Manchester City - Newcastle United	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
UEFA Europa League
05.11.26	Milan - Ferencvárosi	✺
Italian Serie A
31.10.26	Milan - Inter Milan	✺
- Newcastle United
English Premier League
02.11.26	Newcastle United - Everton	✺
English League Cup
29.10.26	Everton - Newcastle United	✺

Milan - Newcastle United